COLB
Columbia Banking System
Screener candidate detail · 6 active archetypes
Active
6
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.791confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -3.5%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -3.99pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.57×+0.9%=+0.5pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.50%
1-day return
-3.50%
Beta (60d)
0.57
Sector return (1d)
0.86%
Sector return
0.86%
Borrowed drop
-3.99%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
P1 · Pair Divergenceprimedpersisting
score: 0.791confluence: 2days: 8as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passtwin:FNBcorrelation:0.84spread_z:-4.51laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
FNB
Pair Correlation
0.84
Pair Spread Z
-4.51
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
primed
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.981confluence: 1days: 37as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.0%rsi_divergence:54momentum_rollover:-4.1%rel_vol:1.74sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
53.73
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.04
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.363confluence: 1days: 36as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.0%failure_vol:weak:0.19sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.03
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.01%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftpartialnew
score: 0.069confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:partial (0.041 in [0.03,0.1))earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.04
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 43as of 2026-07-17
Triggers:rvol_pctile 11.6 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
11.55
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
No
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
1 day
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
1 day
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
4 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
5 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/3 directionally right · mean +5.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-17 → open7 bars
+6.6%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-18 → open26 bars
-3.0%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-16 → open28 bars
-1.6%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.5%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-2130 bars
+9.3%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+4.5%closed
2 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.069 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.04 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.791 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.50% · 1-day return: -3.50% · Beta (60d): 0.57 · Sector return (1d): 0.86% · Sector return: 0.86% · Borrowed drop: -3.99% |
| 2026-07-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.791 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: FNB · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: -4.51 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.981 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.73 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.363 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.280 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: FNB · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.30 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.54 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.372 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.36% |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.45 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.372 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.36% |
| 2026-07-06 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.57 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-02 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.16 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-30 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 7.97 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.372 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): 0.72 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.36% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.300 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.65% · 1-day return: 1.65% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.65% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.302 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.65% · 1-day return: 1.65% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.65% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.306 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.65% · 1-day return: 1.65% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 1.65% |
| 2026-06-18 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.261 | 3 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.68 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.261 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.60% · 1-day return: 0.60% · Beta (60d): 0.85 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.605 | 2 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.08 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.605 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.72% · 1-day return: -2.72% · Beta (60d): 0.83 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.111 | 3 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.056 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.23% · 1-day return: -0.23% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.266 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.16% · 1-day return: -1.16% · Beta (60d): 0.81 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.37 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |