FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
31
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.692confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:ret_1d -3.3%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.15pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.72×+0.3%=+0.9pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.28%
1-day return
-3.28%
Beta (60d)
2.72
Sector return (1d)
0.32%
Sector return
0.32%
Borrowed drop
-4.15%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.692confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-3.3%failure_vol:weak:0.14sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.14
Sma Dist 20
0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-3.28%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.755confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.194 >= 0.1)earnings_4d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.19
Days Since Earnings
4.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
1 day
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/3 directionally right · mean -8.3% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → open2 bars
+0.1%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → open2 bars
-0.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → open7 bars
+11.0%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-10.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-1023 bars
-8.8%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-5.5%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.755 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.692 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.692 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.28% · 1-day return: -3.28% · Beta (60d): 2.72 · Sector return (1d): 0.32% · Sector return: 0.32% · Borrowed drop: -4.15% |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.747 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.876 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.03% · 1-day return: -4.03% · Beta (60d): 2.98 · Sector return (1d): 0.77% · Sector return: 0.77% · Borrowed drop: -6.33% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.876 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.03% · 1-day return: -4.03% · Beta (60d): 2.98 · Sector return (1d): 0.77% · Sector return: 0.77% · Borrowed drop: -6.33% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.99 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.643 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 2.76 · Sector return (1d): -2.66% · Sector return: -2.66% · Borrowed drop: 4.20% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 2.76 · Sector return (1d): -2.66% · Sector return: -2.66% · Borrowed drop: 4.20% |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.166 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.67% · 1-day return: -3.67% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Sector return (1d): -0.77% · Sector return: -0.77% · Borrowed drop: -1.56% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.723 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 2.79 · Sector return (1d): 0.37% · Sector return: 0.37% · Borrowed drop: -4.87% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.199 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.998 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -11.22% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.99 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.877 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 2.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.14% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.877 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 2.98 · Sector return (1d): 0.57% · Sector return: 0.57% · Borrowed drop: -5.75% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.646 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.20% · 1-day return: -7.20% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.92% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.646 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.20% · 1-day return: -7.20% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Sector return (1d): -1.46% · Sector return: -1.46% · Borrowed drop: -3.20% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.009 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.04% · 1-day return: 0.04% · Beta (60d): 2.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.02% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.227 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.54% · 1-day return: 0.54% · Beta (60d): 2.60 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.254 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 2.67 · Sector return (1d): -2.33% · Sector return: -2.33% · Borrowed drop: 2.78% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.254 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 2.67 · Sector return (1d): -2.33% · Sector return: -2.33% · Borrowed drop: 2.78% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.485 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -9.51% · 1-day return: -9.51% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Sector return (1d): -1.94% · Sector return: -1.94% · Borrowed drop: -4.19% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.99 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 1.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |