FCX
Freeport-McMoRan
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
42
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.727confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -6.8%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -4.47pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.90×-1.2%=-2.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-6.81%
1-day return
-6.81%
Beta (60d)
1.90
Sector return (1d)
-1.23%
Sector return
-1.23%
Borrowed drop
-4.47%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
12 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
6 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/8 directionally right · mean -2.0% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-2.9%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+8.3%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-14 → 2026-08-205 bars
+3.3%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-08-047 bars
-0.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-24 → 2026-07-316 bars
-0.7%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-24 → 2026-07-283 bars
+2.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → 2026-07-202 bars
+4.2%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-10.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-1023 bars
-8.8%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-5.5%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.707 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.727 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.81% · 1-day return: -6.81% · Beta (60d): 1.90 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -4.47% |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.153 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.41% · 1-day return: -4.41% · Beta (60d): 2.38 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -1.60% |
| 2026-09-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.153 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.41% · 1-day return: -4.41% · Beta (60d): 2.38 · Sector return (1d): -1.18% · Sector return: -1.18% · Borrowed drop: -1.60% |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.103 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.48% · 1-day return: -3.48% · Beta (60d): 2.30 · Sector return (1d): -1.02% · Sector return: -1.02% · Borrowed drop: -1.14% |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.756 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.707 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.856 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.13 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.087 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.88% · Sector return: -0.88% · Borrowed drop: -0.92% |
| 2026-08-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.692 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.087 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.06% · 1-day return: -3.06% · Beta (60d): 2.42 · Sector return (1d): -0.88% · Sector return: -0.88% · Borrowed drop: -0.92% |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.756 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.232 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.51% · 1-day return: -3.51% · Beta (60d): 2.50 · Sector return (1d): -0.51% · Sector return: -0.51% · Borrowed drop: -2.23% |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: 0.03% |
| 2026-08-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.692 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: 0.03% |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.756 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.762 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.381 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.76 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: 0.03% |
| 2026-07-29 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.760 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.868 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.98% · 1-day return: -3.98% · Beta (60d): 2.76 · Sector return (1d): 2.33% · Sector return: 2.33% · Borrowed drop: -10.40% |
| 2026-07-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.760 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.755 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.692 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.14 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.692 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.28% · 1-day return: -3.28% · Beta (60d): 2.72 · Sector return (1d): 0.32% · Sector return: 0.32% · Borrowed drop: -4.15% |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.747 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.19 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.99 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.245 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.199 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.998 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.56% · 1-day return: -0.56% · Beta (60d): 2.96 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -11.22% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.99 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.877 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 2.98 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.14% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.646 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.20% · 1-day return: -7.20% · Beta (60d): 2.74 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.92% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.009 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.04% · 1-day return: 0.04% · Beta (60d): 2.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.02% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.02% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.237 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.227 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.54% · 1-day return: 0.54% · Beta (60d): 2.60 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.14 · Dist 52w Low: 0.99 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 1.02 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |