AMAT
Applied Materials
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialnew
score: 0.248confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passtwin:LRCXcorrelation:0.89spread_z:+2.11laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
LRCX
Pair Correlation
0.89
Pair Spread Z
2.11
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.049confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -3.7%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -0.51pp (unexplained)sector_explained 3.51×-0.9%=-3.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.68%
1-day return
-3.68%
Beta (60d)
3.51
Sector return (1d)
-0.90%
Sector return
-0.90%
Borrowed drop
-0.51%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
15 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean +9.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+7.3%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-25 → 2026-06-293 bars
-0.4%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+19.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-2130 bars
+17.7%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
-0.1%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.049 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.68% · 1-day return: -3.68% · Beta (60d): 3.51 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -0.51% |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.025 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.83% · 1-day return: -4.83% · Beta (60d): 3.50 · Sector return (1d): -1.45% · Sector return: -1.45% · Borrowed drop: 0.25% |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.248 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: LRCX · Pair Correlation: 0.89 · Pair Spread Z: 2.11 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.184 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.74% · 1-day return: -5.74% · Beta (60d): 3.62 · Sector return (1d): -1.09% · Sector return: -1.09% · Borrowed drop: -1.78% |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.731 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.24% · 1-day return: -3.24% · Beta (60d): 3.50 · Sector return (1d): -2.26% · Sector return: -2.26% · Borrowed drop: 4.67% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 2.26 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.528 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.36% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.557 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.60% · 1-day return: -4.60% · Beta (60d): 3.42 · Sector return (1d): -2.45% · Sector return: -2.45% · Borrowed drop: 3.79% |
| 2026-07-09 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.850 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: LRCX · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.77 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.105 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.68% · 1-day return: -6.68% · Beta (60d): 3.16 · Sector return (1d): -2.42% · Sector return: -2.42% · Borrowed drop: 0.97% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.528 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.36% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.114 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.64% · 1-day return: -7.64% · Beta (60d): 3.18 · Sector return (1d): -2.75% · Sector return: -2.75% · Borrowed drop: 1.10% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.273 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -10.50% · 1-day return: -10.50% · Beta (60d): 3.13 · Sector return (1d): -2.61% · Sector return: -2.61% · Borrowed drop: -2.36% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.528 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.36% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.528 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Sector return (1d): -1.89% · Sector return: -1.89% · Borrowed drop: -0.90% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.526 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.25% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.526 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Sector return (1d): -1.89% · Sector return: -1.89% · Borrowed drop: -0.90% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.546 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -16.74% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.546 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.36% · 1-day return: -6.36% · Beta (60d): 2.88 · Sector return (1d): -1.89% · Sector return: -1.89% · Borrowed drop: -0.90% |
| 2026-06-25 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.850 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: LRCX · Pair Correlation: 0.88 · Pair Spread Z: 2.77 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 2.26 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.208 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.53% · 1-day return: 0.53% · Beta (60d): 2.70 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.45% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.584 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.86% · 1-day return: -8.86% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.79% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.584 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.86% · 1-day return: -8.86% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Sector return (1d): -4.23% · Sector return: -4.23% · Borrowed drop: 1.96% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.911 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.00% · 1-day return: 4.00% · Beta (60d): 2.58 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.00% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.00% · 1-day return: 4.00% · Beta (60d): 2.58 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.00% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.919 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.00% · 1-day return: 4.00% · Beta (60d): 2.58 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.00% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.973 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 5.91% · 1-day return: 5.91% · Beta (60d): 2.58 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.949 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.25% · 1-day return: 4.25% · Beta (60d): 2.52 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.743 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 2.70 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.743 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.04% · 1-day return: -3.04% · Beta (60d): 2.70 · Sector return (1d): -2.83% · Sector return: -2.83% · Borrowed drop: 4.59% |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.893 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.21% · 1-day return: 3.21% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.885 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.61% · 1-day return: 2.61% · Beta (60d): 2.58 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.796 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -10.21% · 1-day return: -10.21% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 6.38% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.796 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -10.21% · 1-day return: -10.21% · Beta (60d): 2.41 · Sector return (1d): -6.89% · Sector return: -6.89% · Borrowed drop: 6.38% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 2.26 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 2.22 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |