RCL
Royal Caribbean Group
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
53
rows
Days on list
46
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 46as of 2026-09-04
Triggers:rvol_pctile 6.4 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
6.37
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 0days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 4.3% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 7.02 (extreme)ret_20d -17.1% (falling)dist_52w_low +7.4% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
4.31
Days To Cover
7.02
Ret 20d
-0.17
Dist 52w Low
0.07
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/7 directionally right · mean +0.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → open8 bars
-2.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-21 → 2026-08-242 bars
+2.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-122 bars
-1.5%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-119 bars
-6.0%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-21 → open38 bars
-11.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-073 bars
-6.9%closed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-24 → 2026-06-252 bars
-3.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+4.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2210 bars
+11.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-11.3%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.31 · Days To Cover: 7.02 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.06 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.17 · Dist 52w Low: 0.07 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.395 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.89% · 1-day return: -3.89% · Beta (60d): 1.45 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.12% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.15 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.279 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.37 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.20 · Dist 52w Low: 0.09 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.395 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.89% · 1-day return: -3.89% · Beta (60d): 1.45 · Sector return (1d): -0.53% · Sector return: -0.53% · Borrowed drop: -3.12% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.395 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.21 · Days To Cover: 6.99 · Ret 20d: -0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.177 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.40% · 1-day return: -4.40% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -1.85% |
| 2026-08-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.98 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-26 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.59 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.59 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.279 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.177 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.40% · 1-day return: -4.40% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Sector return (1d): -1.62% · Sector return: -1.62% · Borrowed drop: -1.85% |
| 2026-08-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 0 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-18 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.92 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.415 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Sector return (1d): -0.16% · Sector return: -0.16% · Borrowed drop: -3.58% |
| 2026-08-17 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.52 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.415 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.82% · 1-day return: -3.82% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Sector return (1d): -0.16% · Sector return: -0.16% · Borrowed drop: -3.58% |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.279 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.279 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.187 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.283 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.283 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.282 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-30 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.280 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-29 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.279 | 2 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.870 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.69 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.41% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.870 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.69 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.41% |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.610 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.69% · Sector return: 0.69% · Borrowed drop: -5.14% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.41% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.535 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.32% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.781 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -9.87% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.402 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.59% · 1-day return: -2.59% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.66% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.97% |
| 2026-06-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.870 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.69 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.113 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.01% · 1-day return: -1.01% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.25% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.880 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.60% · 1-day return: 3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.60% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.884 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.60% · 1-day return: 3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.60% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.889 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.60% · 1-day return: 3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.60% |