RCL
Royal Caribbean Group
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
55
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.353confluence: 1days: 55as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:short_pct 5.1% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.92 (extreme)ret_20d -4.2% (holding)dist_52w_low +25.4% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
5.14
Days To Cover
5.92
Ret 20d
-0.04
Dist 52w Low
0.25
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:rvol_pctile 19.1 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
19.12
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
1 day
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean +1.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+7.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-073 bars
-6.9%closed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-24 → 2026-06-252 bars
-3.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+4.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-06-2210 bars
+11.1%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open36 bars
+7.2%open · MTM
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.353 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.14 · Days To Cover: 5.92 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.25 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.14 · Days To Cover: 5.92 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.870 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.69 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 19.12 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.41% |
| 2026-07-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.386 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.397 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.408 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-07 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.870 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.69 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.420 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.15 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.41% |
| 2026-07-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.435 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-02 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 2.25 · Sector return (1d): -0.82% · Sector return: -0.82% · Borrowed drop: -1.46% |
| 2026-07-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.303 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.610 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.60% · 1-day return: -3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.24 · Sector return (1d): 0.69% · Sector return: 0.69% · Borrowed drop: -5.14% |
| 2026-07-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.610 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.26 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-30 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.481 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-29 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.496 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.32 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.523 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.41% |
| 2026-06-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.523 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.02 · Days To Cover: 5.12 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.31 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.535 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.32% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.781 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.41% · 1-day return: -1.41% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -9.87% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.600 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 2.32 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: 2.20% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.402 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.59% · 1-day return: -2.59% · Beta (60d): 2.44 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.66% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.97% |
| 2026-06-23 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.870 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CCL · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.69 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.113 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.01% · 1-day return: -1.01% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.25% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.880 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.60% · 1-day return: 3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.60% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.884 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.60% · 1-day return: 3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.60% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.889 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.60% · 1-day return: 3.60% · Beta (60d): 2.34 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.60% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.896 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.63% · 1-day return: 3.63% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.600 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 2.32 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.600 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.70% · 1-day return: -3.70% · Beta (60d): 2.32 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: 2.20% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.027 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.91% · 1-day return: -4.91% · Beta (60d): 2.16 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -0.43% |
| 2026-06-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): 2.24 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: 0.01% |
| 2026-06-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): 2.24 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: 0.01% |