CNM
Core & Main
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
34
rows
Days on list
8
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.153confluence: 1days: 8as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 39 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
1.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.14
Sma Dist 200
-0.14
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
6 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/5 directionally right · mean -1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-21 → open5 bars
-1.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-062 bars
-1.9%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-013 bars
+0.9%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-0.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-164 bars
-7.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.153 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 39 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-24 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.159 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 51 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-23 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.205 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.07 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 63 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-22 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.145 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.08 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 64 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-21 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.175 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.10 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 65 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-20 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.136 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.12 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 70 >= 60 (elevated) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.748 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.714 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.748 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.714 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.748 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.714 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.106 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.71% · 1-day return: -1.71% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.749 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.78% · 1-day return: -2.78% · Beta (60d): 1.22 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.38% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.933 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.53% · 1-day return: 4.53% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.53% |
| 2026-06-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.936 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.53% · 1-day return: 4.53% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.53% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.940 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.53% · 1-day return: 4.53% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.53% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.920 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.96% · 1-day return: 3.96% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.876 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.85% · 1-day return: -2.85% · Beta (60d): 1.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.155 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.34% · 1-day return: 0.34% · Beta (60d): 1.08 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.647 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.50% · 1-day return: -1.50% · Beta (60d): 1.05 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.589 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.594 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.186 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.29% · 1-day return: -6.29% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -2.28% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |