CNM
Core & Main
Screener candidate detail · 5 active archetypes
Active
5
archetypes
History
54
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.456confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.6%failure_vol:strong:1.92sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.34
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.59%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialnew
score: 0.914confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 7.0% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 0d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
6.97
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
0.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.424confluence: 1days: 31as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 6.0% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.85 (extreme)ret_20d -12.0% (falling)dist_52w_low +0.2% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
6.02
Days To Cover
5.85
Ret 20d
-0.12
Dist 52w Low
0.00
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.424confluence: 1days: 44as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 16.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passinside_day: confirmedNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
16.33
Inside Day
Yes
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationpartialpersisting
score: 0.424confluence: 1days: 10as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:regime:structural_deratefragility_gate:not_fragile (derate without structural confirm)
Dislocation:
Regime Tag
structural_derate
Fragile
No
Gate Abstained
No
Fragility Reasons
beta 1.37 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -17.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 16 < 60 (calm)
Fragility Legs Fired
2.00
Credit Amplified
No
Derate Depth Below 200d
0.18
Sma Dist 200
-0.18
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
10 days
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragilityactive
10 daysripe: Confirmed
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
1 day
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
4 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
9 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/6 directionally right · mean -1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-1.1%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-09 → open3 bars
+7.9%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-09-03 → open6 bars
+6.6%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-13 → open21 bars
-10.2%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-30 → open31 bars
-9.1%open · MTM
N4 · Structural-Derate Continuationshort fragility2026-07-21 → 2026-08-0411 bars
-1.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-02 → 2026-07-062 bars
-1.9%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-013 bars
+0.9%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-0.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-164 bars
-7.0%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.4%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.424 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 6.02 · Days To Cover: 5.85 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.424 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-11 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.424 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.37 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -17.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 16 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.440 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.440 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.37 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -18.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 16 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 2.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.914 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.18 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 14 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.914 | 1 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 6.97 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 0.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.456 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.34 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.456 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.319 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.59 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.456 | 2 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.05 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 2 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.090 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-04 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.090 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.05 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 2 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.117 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.05 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-03 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.117 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -11.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 2 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.134 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.04 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-02 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.134 | 1 | new | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.25 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -12.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 4 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.00 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-01 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 0.00 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.01 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 5.76 · Days To Cover: 6.03 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.02 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.292 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.98 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-28 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.125 | 1 | decayed | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.11 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 18 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-08-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.292 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 3.98 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.147 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.76 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.147 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-19 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.148 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 8.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-18 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.149 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.56 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-31 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 15.94 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-31 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.125 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.11 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 18 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-30 | N4 · Structural-Derate Continuation | partial | 0.179 | 1 | persisting | Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 1.11 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 18 < 60 (calm) · Fragility Legs Fired: 1.00 · Credit Amplified: No |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.748 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-07-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.714 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-07-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.748 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.714 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.748 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -6.07% · 1-day return: -6.07% · Beta (60d): 1.00 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.05% |
| 2026-06-29 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.223 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.28 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.714 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.81% · 1-day return: 1.81% · Beta (60d): 1.11 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.20% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.106 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.71% · 1-day return: -1.71% · Beta (60d): 1.23 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.23% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.749 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.78% · 1-day return: -2.78% · Beta (60d): 1.22 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.38% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.933 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.53% · 1-day return: 4.53% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.53% |
| 2026-06-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.936 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.53% · 1-day return: 4.53% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.53% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.940 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 4.53% · 1-day return: 4.53% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 4.53% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.920 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.96% · 1-day return: 3.96% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.876 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.85% · 1-day return: -2.85% · Beta (60d): 1.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.589 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.594 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.14 · Sector return (1d): 0.59% · Sector return: 0.59% · Borrowed drop: -4.18% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.186 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.29% · 1-day return: -6.29% · Beta (60d): 1.16 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: -2.28% |