TRV
The Travelers Companies
Screener candidate detail · 5 active archetypes
Active
5
archetypes
History
37
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
P1 · Pair Divergenceprimednew
score: 0.520confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passtwin:HIGcorrelation:0.80spread_z:+7.13laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
HIG
Pair Correlation
0.80
Pair Spread Z
7.13
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
primed
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N2 · Overextended Blowoffpartialpersisting
score: 0.934confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passrsi_extreme:82stretch:21.1%momentum_climactic:5.8%atr_pct:2.3reversal:pending
Dislocation:
Rsi 14
81.67
Sma Dist 20
0.11
Sma Dist 50
0.21
Stretch
0.21
Atr Pct
2.32%
1-day return
0.79%
Ret 5d
0.06
Realized Vol 20d
0.37
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.934confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.863 >= 0.1)earnings_10d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.86
Days Since Earnings
10.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N1 · Distribution Topprimednew
score: 0.617confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-15
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.2%rsi_divergence:55momentum_rollover:-2.6%rel_vol:0.58sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
54.73
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.03
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.03
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutpartialpersisting
score: 0.290confluence: 1days: 44as of 2026-07-21
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-0.7%failure_vol:weak:0.26failure:unconfirmed
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
0.08
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
No
1-day return
-0.73%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N2 · Overextended Blowoffshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Confirmed
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
4 daysripe: Loaded
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
5 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
9 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
1 day
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
2 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean -0.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-24 → open2 bars
-0.8%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+4.3%open · MTM
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-172 bars
-5.2%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-15 → open9 bars
+20.7%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-07-018 bars
-6.7%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-236 bars
+5.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-09 → open33 bars
-30.3%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.9%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.934 | 1 | persisting | Rsi 14: 81.67 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.21 · Stretch: 0.21 · Atr Pct: 2.32% · 1-day return: 0.79% |
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.934 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.86 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | N2 · Overextended Blowoff | partial | 0.937 | 1 | new | Rsi 14: 80.88 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.21 · Stretch: 0.21 · Atr Pct: 2.41% · 1-day return: 2.85% |
| 2026-07-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.520 | 2 | new | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.80 · Pair Spread Z: 7.13 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.937 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.86 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.941 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.86 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.483 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.90% · 1-day return: -3.90% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.944 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.86 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.290 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.246 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.10 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.617 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.73 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.483 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.90% · 1-day return: -3.90% · Beta (60d): -0.44 · Sector return (1d): 1.01% · Sector return: 1.01% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.564 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.38 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.193 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.673 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.491 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.244 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: 0.57% · 1-day return: 0.57% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.57% |
| 2026-06-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.462 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.564 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.38 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.244 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.57% · 1-day return: 0.57% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.57% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.57% · 1-day return: 0.57% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.57% |
| 2026-06-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.706 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.38 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.57% · 1-day return: 0.57% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.57% |
| 2026-06-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.244 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: HIG · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.38 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.244 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.57% · 1-day return: 0.57% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.57% |
| 2026-06-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.330 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.330 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.53% · 1-day return: -0.53% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.368 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.368 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.47% · 1-day return: -0.47% · Beta (60d): -0.07 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.156 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.34% · 1-day return: 0.34% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.326 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.66% · 1-day return: 0.66% · Beta (60d): -0.08 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.096 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.18% · 1-day return: 0.18% · Beta (60d): -0.09 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.947 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.18 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.17 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |