HWM
Howmet Aerospace
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
60
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.979confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -11.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -10.90pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.86×-0.5%=-0.4pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-11.32%
1-day return
-11.32%
Beta (60d)
0.86
Sector return (1d)
-0.49%
Sector return
-0.49%
Borrowed drop
-10.90%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
P1 · Pair Divergenceprimednew
score: 0.857confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-01
Triggers:quality:passtwin:GEcorrelation:0.73spread_z:+3.54laggard:rich_laggard → short_fragility
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
GE
Pair Correlation
0.73
Pair Spread Z
3.54
Pair Direction
short_fragility
Pair State
primed
Gate pass
Yes
Analyst
[object Object]
Quality
[object Object]
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragilityactive
5 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
7 days
N1 · Distribution Top
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
5 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
3 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 7/12 directionally right · mean +0.5%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-1.8%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-09-02 → open7 bars
+11.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-01 → 2026-09-022 bars
+2.9%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-20 → 2026-08-265 bars
-6.3%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-11 → 2026-08-186 bars
+0.9%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
+1.7%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-21 → 2026-07-286 bars
+5.9%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → open48 bars
+19.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-093 bars
-0.4%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-29 → open53 bars
+18.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-26 → 2026-06-303 bars
-0.8%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-06-26 → 2026-07-088 bars
-0.8%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+6.2%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-10 → 2026-06-2511 bars
-9.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+4.6%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.266 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-10 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.270 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.96 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.979 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -11.32% · 1-day return: -11.32% · Beta (60d): 0.86 · Sector return (1d): -0.49% · Sector return: -0.49% · Borrowed drop: -10.90% |
| 2026-09-03 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.015 | 0 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.857 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: 3.54 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.929 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -8.86% · 1-day return: -8.86% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -7.46% |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.266 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Sector return (1d): -0.70% · Sector return: -0.70% · Borrowed drop: -2.67% |
| 2026-08-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.015 | 0 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.53% · 1-day return: -3.53% · Beta (60d): 0.65 · Sector return (1d): -1.21% · Sector return: -1.21% · Borrowed drop: -2.75% |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.299 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.18% · 1-day return: -3.18% · Beta (60d): 0.57 · Sector return (1d): -0.89% · Sector return: -0.89% · Borrowed drop: -2.68% |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.036 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.266 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.270 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.96 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.270 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.273 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.74 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.174 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 0.96 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.64% |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.273 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.277 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.46 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.277 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.281 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.86 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | partial | 0.281 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.06 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.599 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.174 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 0.96 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.64% |
| 2026-08-03 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.114 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.04 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-31 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.785 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.83 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-07-30 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.819 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.52 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.174 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): 0.96 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.64% |
| 2026-07-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.701 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.03 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.416 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.118 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Sector return (1d): -2.25% · Sector return: -2.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.114 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.04 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.173 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.11 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.210 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.118 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Sector return (1d): -2.25% · Sector return: -2.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.566 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.84 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.58% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.58% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.114 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.04 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.169 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.32 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.58% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.556 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.53% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.960 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.60% |
| 2026-06-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.574 | 3 | new | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.22 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.034 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.34% · 1-day return: 0.34% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.07% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.249 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): 1.10 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.677 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.99% · 1-day return: -1.99% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.99% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.685 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.99% · 1-day return: -1.99% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.99% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.835 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.99% · 1-day return: -1.99% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.99% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |