HWM
Howmet Aerospace
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
44
rows
Days on list
21
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
7 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutpartialpersisting
score: 0.416confluence: 1days: 21as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:52w_highfailure_bar:-0.5%failure_vol:weak:0.73failure:unconfirmed
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
52w_high
Dist 52w High
-0.00
Sma Dist 20
0.04
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
No
1-day return
-0.46%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.173confluence: 1days: 18as of 2026-07-16
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.3%rsi_divergence:51momentum_rollover:-0.9%rel_vol:0.53sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
51.11
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.01
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.7 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.73
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
4 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
8 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
3 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/7 directionally right · mean -0.1% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-21 → open5 bars
+6.2%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-07 → open15 bars
-5.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-07 → 2026-07-093 bars
-0.4%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-29 → 2026-07-2015 bars
-2.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-26 → 2026-06-303 bars
-0.8%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-06-26 → open21 bars
+6.0%open · MTM
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+1.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-122 bars
+6.2%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-10 → 2026-06-2511 bars
-9.4%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+4.6%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.416 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.73 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.118 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Sector return (1d): -2.25% · Sector return: -2.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-21 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.96 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.114 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.04 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-20 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 6.77 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.173 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 51.11 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.210 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.118 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Sector return (1d): -2.25% · Sector return: -2.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.566 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.84 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.58% |
| 2026-07-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.537 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.591 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.118 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.118 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 0.88 · Sector return (1d): -2.25% · Sector return: -2.25% · Borrowed drop: -1.12% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.58% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.574 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.80% · 1-day return: -3.80% · Beta (60d): 1.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.79% · Sector return: -0.79% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.114 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.04 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-02 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.169 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 54.32 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 |
| 2026-06-30 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.54 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 |
| 2026-06-29 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.791 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.95 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.02 |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.58% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.556 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.53% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.960 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.58% · 1-day return: -1.58% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.60% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.574 | 3 | new | 1-day return: -3.80% · 1-day return: -3.80% · Beta (60d): 1.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.79% · Sector return: -0.79% · Borrowed drop: -2.91% |
| 2026-06-26 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.574 | 3 | new | Pair Twin: GE · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.22 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.034 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.34% · 1-day return: 0.34% · Beta (60d): 1.12 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.07% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.072 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.03% · 1-day return: -3.03% · Beta (60d): 1.21 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 1.13% |
| 2026-06-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.198 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.249 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.88% · 1-day return: -1.88% · Beta (60d): 1.10 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.56% |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.677 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.677 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.99% · 1-day return: -1.99% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.99% |
| 2026-06-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.685 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.685 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.99% · 1-day return: -1.99% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.99% |
| 2026-06-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.835 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: 0.07 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.835 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.99% · 1-day return: -1.99% · Beta (60d): 1.20 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.99% |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.072 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.03% · 1-day return: -3.03% · Beta (60d): 1.21 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 1.13% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.072 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.03% · 1-day return: -3.03% · Beta (60d): 1.21 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 1.13% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.49 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.48 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |