MP
MP Materials
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
59
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.264confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -5.6%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.49pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.56×-1.2%=-3.2pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-5.64%
1-day return
-5.64%
Beta (60d)
2.56
Sector return (1d)
-1.23%
Sector return
-1.23%
Borrowed drop
-2.49%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 101as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 22.3% (extreme)days_to_cover 5.67 (extreme)ret_20d -8.4% (falling)dist_52w_low +34.3% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
22.26
Days To Cover
5.67
Ret 20d
-0.08
Dist 52w Low
0.34
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
Yes
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 4as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:rvol_pctile 16.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
16.33
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
15 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
14 daysripe: Confirmed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
15 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 1/5 directionally right · mean -12.5% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-7.4%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-19 → open17 bars
-9.5%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-27 → 2026-07-315 bars
+1.3%closed
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-2916 bars
-17.1%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-25 → 2026-07-2017 bars
-21.7%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-7.3%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-116 bars
-17.6%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-24.6%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 22.26 · Days To Cover: 5.67 · Ret 20d: -0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.34 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-11 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 16.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.264 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.64% · 1-day return: -5.64% · Beta (60d): 2.56 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -2.49% |
| 2026-09-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.264 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.35 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 12.75 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-09 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.241 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.759 | 0 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.53% · 1-day return: -7.53% · Beta (60d): 2.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.02% · Sector return: -1.02% · Borrowed drop: -4.77% |
| 2026-09-08 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.16 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.237 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.238 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-02 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.267 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.13 · Dist 52w Low: 0.44 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | primed | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.12 · Dist 52w Low: 0.41 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.759 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.53% · 1-day return: -7.53% · Beta (60d): 2.71 · Sector return (1d): -1.02% · Sector return: -1.02% · Borrowed drop: -4.77% |
| 2026-08-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.291 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.28 · Dist 52w Low: 0.44 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.758 | 0 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.04% · 1-day return: -5.04% · Beta (60d): 2.68 · Sector return (1d): -0.09% · Sector return: -0.09% · Borrowed drop: -4.79% |
| 2026-08-28 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.290 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.31 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.292 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.35 · Dist 52w Low: 0.55 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.293 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 20.24 · Days To Cover: 3.48 · Ret 20d: 0.44 · Dist 52w Low: 0.56 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.62 · Days To Cover: 4.27 · Ret 20d: 0.38 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.742 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.48% · 1-day return: -4.48% · Beta (60d): 2.73 · Sector return (1d): 0.07% · Sector return: 0.07% · Borrowed drop: -4.68% |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.742 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.62 · Days To Cover: 4.27 · Ret 20d: 0.29 · Dist 52w Low: 0.51 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-24 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 0 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 19.62 · Days To Cover: 4.27 · Ret 20d: 0.37 · Dist 52w Low: 0.58 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: Yes |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.851 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.02% · 1-day return: -6.02% · Beta (60d): 2.70 · Sector return (1d): -0.05% · Sector return: -0.05% · Borrowed drop: -5.89% |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.071 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.20% · 1-day return: -3.20% · Beta (60d): 2.72 · Sector return (1d): -0.88% · Sector return: -0.88% · Borrowed drop: -0.79% |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.413 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -8.02% · 1-day return: -8.02% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -5.55% |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.413 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.02% · 1-day return: -8.02% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -5.55% |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.413 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.02% · 1-day return: -8.02% · Beta (60d): 2.14 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -5.55% |
| 2026-07-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.474 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.38% · 1-day return: -4.38% · Beta (60d): 2.00 · Sector return (1d): 1.83% · Sector return: 1.83% · Borrowed drop: -8.05% |
| 2026-07-27 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 17.93 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.494 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -7.80% · 1-day return: -7.80% · Beta (60d): 2.17 · Sector return (1d): 1.91% · Sector return: 1.91% · Borrowed drop: -11.94% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.490 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -8.43% · 1-day return: -8.43% · Beta (60d): 2.40 · Sector return (1d): 0.77% · Sector return: 0.77% · Borrowed drop: -10.28% |
| 2026-07-23 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.58 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-22 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 9.56 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.490 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -8.43% · 1-day return: -8.43% · Beta (60d): 2.40 · Sector return (1d): 0.77% · Sector return: 0.77% · Borrowed drop: -10.28% |
| 2026-07-14 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 5.58 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.349 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 2.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.14% |
| 2026-07-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.303 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.33% · 1-day return: -5.33% · Beta (60d): 2.13 · Sector return (1d): -0.61% · Sector return: -0.61% · Borrowed drop: -4.03% |
| 2026-07-13 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 1.99 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.193 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.36 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-09 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.199 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-08 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 2 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 14.34 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-07 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.112 | 3 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 10.76 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.349 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 2.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.14% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.349 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 2.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.14% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.344 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 2.43 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -3.05% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.405 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.14% · 1-day return: -3.14% · Beta (60d): 2.43 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -11.88% |
| 2026-06-25 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.005 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.90% · 1-day return: -0.90% · Beta (60d): 2.35 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.37% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.02% |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.577 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.14% · 1-day return: -4.14% · Beta (60d): 2.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.04% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.370 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.97% · 1-day return: -0.97% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.22% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.401 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.07% · 1-day return: 0.07% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.07% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.451 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.07% · 1-day return: 0.07% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.07% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.029 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.07% · 1-day return: 0.07% · Beta (60d): 2.31 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 0.07% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.616 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.65% · 1-day return: -1.65% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.986 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 6.43% · 1-day return: 6.43% · Beta (60d): 2.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.739 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.10% · 1-day return: -2.10% · Beta (60d): 2.65 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.552 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 1.23% · 1-day return: 1.23% · Beta (60d): 2.66 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |