TKR
Timken
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
38
rows
Days on list
7
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N1 · Distribution Topprimedpersisting
score: 0.675confluence: 1days: 7as of 2026-07-13
Triggers:quality:passnear_52w_high:-4.8%rsi_divergence:53momentum_rollover:-2.9%rel_vol:0.83sma_breach:sma10confirmation:pass
Dislocation:
Dist 52w High
-0.05
Near 52w High
Yes
Rsi 14
53.46
Rsi Divergence
Yes
Sma Dist 10
-0.01
Sma Dist 20
-0.01
Sma Breach
Yes
Ret 5d
-0.03
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
P1 · Pair Divergencepartialpersisting
score: 0.553confluence: 1days: 12as of 2026-07-24
Triggers:quality:passtwin:SWKcorrelation:0.72spread_z:-2.42laggard:cheap_laggard → long_recovery
Dislocation:
Pair Twin
SWK
Pair Correlation
0.72
Pair Spread Z
-2.42
Pair Direction
long_recovery
Pair State
partial
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.161confluence: 1days: 13as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.9%failure_vol:weak:0.05sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.04
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.87%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recoveryactive
5 days
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragilityactive
2 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
7 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 5/7 directionally right · mean +1.4% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-16 → open8 bars
-3.9%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-13 → open11 bars
-3.2%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+1.4%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-156 bars
-1.3%dropped
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-06-25 → 2026-06-262 bars
+1.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+4.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-2510 bars
+6.2%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0619 bars
-4.8%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.2%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.161 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.553 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.42 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.573 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.029 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.07% · 1-day return: -3.07% · Beta (60d): 1.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-07-16 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.866 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -3.05 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.128 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.029 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.07% · 1-day return: -3.07% · Beta (60d): 1.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-07-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.675 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.46 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.651 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.96% |
| 2026-07-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.418 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: 2.26 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.576 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -4.11 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.029 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.11 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.029 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.07% · 1-day return: -3.07% · Beta (60d): 1.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.651 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.96% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.155 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-30 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.236 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 1.63 · Sector return (1d): -2.03% · Sector return: -2.03% · Borrowed drop: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.651 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.96% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.642 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.89% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.989 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.05% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.576 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): 1.68 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.576 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -4.11 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.236 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 1.63 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.13% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.236 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 1.63 · Sector return (1d): -2.03% · Sector return: -2.03% · Borrowed drop: 0.22% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.698 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.10% · 1-day return: 2.10% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.10% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.703 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.10% · 1-day return: 2.10% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.10% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.711 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.10% · 1-day return: 2.10% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.10% |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.401 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.182 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): 1.66 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 2.23% |
| 2026-06-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.194 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.274 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-12 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.272 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.182 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): 1.66 · Sector return (1d): -3.44% · Sector return: -3.44% · Borrowed drop: 2.23% |
| 2026-06-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.800 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.90 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |