TKR
Timken
Screener candidate detail · 2 active archetypes
Active
2
archetypes
History
57
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
8 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.239confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -4.0%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by sub_industry_move (attribution_confidence=medium)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.35pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.06×-1.5%=-1.6pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.96%
1-day return
-3.96%
Beta (60d)
1.06
Sector return (1d)
-1.52%
Sector return
-1.52%
Borrowed drop
-2.35%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 6.2% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.13 (extreme)ret_20d -10.3% (falling)dist_52w_low +69.1% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
6.24
Days To Cover
5.13
Ret 20d
-0.10
Dist 52w Low
0.69
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
5 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
N1 · Distribution Top
4 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
8 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling
2 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 8/13 directionally right · mean +0.1%
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-0.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-31 → open9 bars
-2.0%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-19 → 2026-08-202 bars
-3.3%dropped
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-10 → 2026-08-187 bars
+2.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-066 bars
-6.8%dropped
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-07-29 → 2026-07-302 bars
-4.1%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-16 → 2026-07-3011 bars
+0.7%closed
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-07-13 → 2026-08-0316 bars
+2.4%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-08 → 2026-07-092 bars
+1.4%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-07-08 → 2026-07-156 bars
-1.3%closed
P1 · Pair Divergencelong recovery2026-06-25 → 2026-06-262 bars
+1.1%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+4.1%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-2510 bars
+6.2%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0619 bars
-4.8%dropped
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+3.2%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.547 | 1 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 6.24 · Days To Cover: 5.13 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.69 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.239 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.96% · 1-day return: -3.96% · Beta (60d): 1.06 · Sector return (1d): -1.52% · Sector return: -1.52% · Borrowed drop: -2.35% |
| 2026-09-08 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.675 | 1 | exited | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.46 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.102 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.34% · 1-day return: -3.34% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -1.13% |
| 2026-08-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.102 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.34% · 1-day return: -3.34% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Sector return (1d): -2.07% · Sector return: -2.07% · Borrowed drop: -1.13% |
| 2026-08-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.196 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.03% · 1-day return: -3.03% · Beta (60d): 1.09 · Sector return (1d): -0.93% · Sector return: -0.93% · Borrowed drop: -2.01% |
| 2026-08-28 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.547 | 1 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-27 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.544 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.42 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.181 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -1.88% |
| 2026-08-25 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-08-18 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.181 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.17 · Sector return (1d): -1.49% · Sector return: -1.49% · Borrowed drop: -1.88% |
| 2026-08-14 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.547 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 10.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.544 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.42 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.547 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-12 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.551 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-11 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-11 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.969 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -7.10% · 1-day return: -7.10% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): 1.75% · Sector return: 1.75% · Borrowed drop: -9.35% |
| 2026-08-11 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.555 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-10 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.675 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.46 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-08-10 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.561 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.575 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.969 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.10% · 1-day return: -7.10% · Beta (60d): 1.28 · Sector return (1d): 1.75% · Sector return: 1.75% · Borrowed drop: -9.35% |
| 2026-07-30 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.544 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: 2.42 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.044 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.66% · 1-day return: -5.66% · Beta (60d): 1.88 · Sector return (1d): -3.25% · Sector return: -3.25% · Borrowed drop: 0.46% |
| 2026-07-28 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-28 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 11.55 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: No · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-07-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.161 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.553 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.72 · Pair Spread Z: -2.42 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-23 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.573 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.03 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-21 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.029 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.07% · 1-day return: -3.07% · Beta (60d): 1.60 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: -0.29% |
| 2026-07-16 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.866 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -3.05 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.128 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.675 | 1 | persisting | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.46 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.651 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.96% |
| 2026-07-13 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.418 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: 2.26 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-08 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.576 | 2 | decayed | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -4.11 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-07 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.029 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 53.11 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.02 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.651 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.96% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.155 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.04 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.651 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.96% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.642 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.89% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.989 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.96% · 1-day return: -1.96% · Beta (60d): 1.69 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -8.05% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.576 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.25% · 1-day return: 0.25% · Beta (60d): 1.68 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.35% |
| 2026-06-24 | P1 · Pair Divergence | primed | 0.576 | 2 | persisting | Pair Twin: SWK · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -4.11 · Pair Direction: long_recovery · Pair State: primed · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.236 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.10% · 1-day return: -3.10% · Beta (60d): 1.63 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.13% |
| 2026-06-22 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.308 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.698 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.10% · 1-day return: 2.10% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.10% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.703 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.10% · 1-day return: 2.10% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.10% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.711 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.10% · 1-day return: 2.10% · Beta (60d): 1.61 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 2.10% |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.401 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.06 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | partial | 0.194 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.08 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.93 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.19 · Dist 52w Low: 0.90 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |