SMG
Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
45
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.366confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-08
Triggers:ret_1d -3.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.98pp (unexplained)sector_explained 0.35×-1.0%=-0.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.32%
1-day return
-3.32%
Beta (60d)
0.35
Sector return (1d)
-0.96%
Sector return
-0.96%
Borrowed drop
-2.98%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 10.4% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.16 (extreme)ret_20d -8.6% (falling)dist_52w_low +10.9% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
10.40
Days To Cover
5.16
Ret 20d
-0.09
Dist 52w Low
0.11
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilingpartialpersisting
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 7as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:rvol_pctile 18.3 (tight ≤20)quality:passNR7: confirmedcatalyst: no upcoming date foundNOTE: vol setup — resolves both ways (not directional)iv_pctile:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design; score = rvol×proximity only)
Dislocation:
Realized Vol Pct 1y
18.33
Inside Day
No
Nr7
Yes
Days To Catalyst
—
Proximity Factor
0.00
Iv Pctile
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recoveryactive
2 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
5 days
A8 · PEAD Beat Drift
8 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/7 directionally right · mean -1.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-2.3%open · MTM
A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coilinglong recovery2026-09-08 → open4 bars
-4.9%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-27 → open11 bars
+6.7%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-08-03 → 2026-08-117 bars
-9.1%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-31 → 2026-08-032 bars
+2.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-08-108 bars
-15.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-20 → 2026-07-212 bars
-3.7%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-06 → 2026-07-105 bars
-2.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-23 → 2026-07-017 bars
+8.6%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+7.3%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → open69 bars
-4.6%open · MTM
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 10.40 · Days To Cover: 5.16 · Ret 20d: -0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.11 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.226 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-10 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 18.33 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.366 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.32% · 1-day return: -3.32% · Beta (60d): 0.35 · Sector return (1d): -0.96% · Sector return: -0.96% · Borrowed drop: -2.98% |
| 2026-09-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.417 | 2 | exited | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-09-04 | A4 · Pre-Catalyst Coiling | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.38 · Inside Day: Yes · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: — · Proximity Factor: 0.00 · Iv Pctile: — |
| 2026-09-01 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-27 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.226 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-26 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.796 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.16 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-21 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.417 | 2 | decayed | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.460 | 3 | exited | 1-day return: -6.35% · 1-day return: -6.35% · Beta (60d): 0.34 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -6.04% |
| 2026-08-13 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.334 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-13 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.460 | 3 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.35% · 1-day return: -6.35% · Beta (60d): 0.34 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -6.04% |
| 2026-08-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.304 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.21 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-10 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.306 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-07 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.417 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 9.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-07 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.417 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.23 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.460 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.35% · 1-day return: -6.35% · Beta (60d): 0.34 · Sector return (1d): -0.90% · Sector return: -0.90% · Borrowed drop: -6.04% |
| 2026-08-06 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.460 | 3 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 8.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.460 | 3 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.22 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-05 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.420 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-05 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.420 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: 0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-04 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.475 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.67% · 1-day return: -3.67% · Beta (60d): 0.32 · Sector return (1d): 0.25% · Sector return: 0.25% · Borrowed drop: -3.75% |
| 2026-08-04 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.426 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.426 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.30 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-03 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.428 | 2 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-08-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.428 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.33 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-31 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.407 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.93% · 1-day return: -3.93% · Beta (60d): 0.42 · Sector return (1d): -2.37% · Sector return: -2.37% · Borrowed drop: -2.93% |
| 2026-07-31 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.407 | 3 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-31 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.407 | 3 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 11.71 · Days To Cover: 6.43 · Ret 20d: -0.05 · Dist 52w Low: 0.29 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-30 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.334 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.366 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.86% · 1-day return: -3.86% · Beta (60d): 0.68 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -3.08% |
| 2026-07-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.381 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.45% · 1-day return: -3.45% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -0.71% · Sector return: -0.71% · Borrowed drop: -3.04% |
| 2026-07-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.381 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.45% · 1-day return: -3.45% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): -0.71% · Sector return: -0.71% · Borrowed drop: -3.04% |
| 2026-07-15 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.281 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.35% · 1-day return: -3.35% · Beta (60d): 0.78 · Sector return (1d): -2.64% · Sector return: -2.64% · Borrowed drop: -1.30% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.692 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: 0.83% · 1-day return: 0.83% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.91% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.692 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: 0.83% · 1-day return: 0.83% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.91% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.692 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.83% · 1-day return: 0.83% · Beta (60d): 1.04 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.91% |
| 2026-06-22 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.569 | 3 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.11% · 1-day return: -3.11% · Beta (60d): 1.37 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.33% · Beta Residual Pct: -2.66% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.807 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.11% · 1-day return: 3.11% · Beta (60d): 1.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.11% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.859 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.11% · 1-day return: 3.11% · Beta (60d): 1.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.11% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.926 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.11% · 1-day return: 3.11% · Beta (60d): 1.35 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.11% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.799 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.57% · 1-day return: 2.57% · Beta (60d): 1.33 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.59% · 1-day return: -0.59% · Beta (60d): 1.30 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.766 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.26% · 1-day return: 2.26% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |