CASY
Casey's
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
20
rows
Days on list
14
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialpersisting
score: 0.525confluence: 2days: 14as of 2026-08-25
Triggers:short_pct:unavailabledays_to_cover 5.99 (extreme)ret_20d -3.7% (holding)dist_52w_low +67.4% (above lows)price_holding:confirmedskew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
—
Days To Cover
5.99
Ret 20d
-0.04
Dist 52w Low
0.67
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
A6 · Vol Mispricingpartialnew
score: 0.495confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passhist_earnings_move 0.8% (weighted avg of 8 events, w=0.7)catalyst 0d awayimplied_move:unavailable (options enabled but no data)vol_edge: pending implied_move data
Dislocation:
Hist Earnings Move
0.76
N Events Used
8.00
Days To Catalyst
0.00
Implied Move
—
Vol Edge
—
Options Legs Enabled
Yes
Gate pass
Yes
Recency Weight
0.70
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialpersisting
score: 0.495confluence: 2days: 2as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:ret_1d -15.4%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -15.86pp (unexplained)sector_explained -0.42×-1.2%=+0.5pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-15.36%
1-day return
-15.36%
Beta (60d)
-0.42
Sector return (1d)
-1.16%
Sector return
-1.16%
Borrowed drop
-15.86%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recoveryactive
1 day
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
5 days
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
10 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
4 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 0/1 directionally right · mean -4.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A6 · Vol Mispricinglong recovery2026-09-10 → open2 bars
-3.7%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-09-09 → open3 bars
-1.6%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-26 → open12 bars
-24.7%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-08-17 → open19 bars
+26.1%open · MTM
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-08-13 → 2026-08-2711 bars
-4.2%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.495 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -15.36% · 1-day return: -15.36% · Beta (60d): -0.42 · Sector return (1d): -1.16% · Sector return: -1.16% · Borrowed drop: -15.86% |
| 2026-09-09 | A6 · Vol Mispricing | partial | 0.495 | 2 | new | Hist Earnings Move: 0.76 · N Events Used: 8.00 · Days To Catalyst: 0.00 · Implied Move: — · Vol Edge: — · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-09-08 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.524 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.03% · 1-day return: -3.03% · Beta (60d): -0.67 · Sector return (1d): -0.66% · Sector return: -0.66% · Borrowed drop: -3.48% |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.925 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.57% · 1-day return: -5.57% · Beta (60d): -1.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -7.33% |
| 2026-09-02 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.297 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.925 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.57% · 1-day return: -5.57% · Beta (60d): -1.27 · Sector return (1d): -1.39% · Sector return: -1.39% · Borrowed drop: -7.33% |
| 2026-08-25 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.525 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.49% · 1-day return: -3.49% · Beta (60d): -1.21 · Sector return (1d): -1.07% · Sector return: -1.07% · Borrowed drop: -4.78% |
| 2026-08-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.525 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.67 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.294 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.68 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-19 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.297 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.295 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-18 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.07 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-18 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.296 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-17 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.298 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: 0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.77 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.299 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.08 · Sma Dist 20: -0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-14 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.299 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.72 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-13 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.301 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: 0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.73 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-12 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.302 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.99 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.70 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |