CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
34
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
6 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.267confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:ret_1d -3.3%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.42pp (unexplained)sector_explained 2.10×-0.4%=-0.9pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.29%
1-day return
-3.29%
Beta (60d)
2.10
Sector return (1d)
-0.41%
Sector return
-0.41%
Borrowed drop
-2.42%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
10 days
P1 · Pair Divergence
4 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
10 days
N1 · Distribution Top
2 days
N3 · Failed Breakout
4 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 4/6 directionally right · mean +3.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-17 → open7 bars
+4.2%open · MTM
P1 · Pair Divergenceshort fragility2026-06-22 → 2026-06-232 bars
+2.5%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
+12.7%closed
N1 · Distribution Topshort fragility2026-06-12 → 2026-06-152 bars
-1.8%dropped
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-08 → 2026-07-0922 bars
+4.7%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-08 → 2026-06-092 bars
-1.6%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+2.4%closed
1 episode could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and is omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.267 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.29% · 1-day return: -3.29% · Beta (60d): 2.10 · Sector return (1d): -0.41% · Sector return: -0.41% · Borrowed drop: -2.42% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.662 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.15% · 1-day return: -4.15% · Beta (60d): 2.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -4.25% |
| 2026-07-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.471 | 1 | exited | Pair Twin: CMI · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: 2.11 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.662 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.15% · 1-day return: -4.15% · Beta (60d): 2.10 · Sector return (1d): 0.05% · Sector return: 0.05% · Borrowed drop: -4.25% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 1.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.023 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: 0.24% |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.635 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.80% |
| 2026-07-09 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.989 | 1 | decayed | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.47 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.023 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.12% · 1-day return: -3.12% · Beta (60d): 1.94 · Sector return (1d): -1.73% · Sector return: -1.73% · Borrowed drop: 0.24% |
| 2026-07-06 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.559 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.635 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.80% |
| 2026-07-06 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.471 | 1 | decayed | Pair Twin: CMI · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: 2.11 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.754 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -7.15% · 1-day return: -7.15% · Beta (60d): 1.98 · Sector return (1d): -1.01% · Sector return: -1.01% · Borrowed drop: -5.14% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.635 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.80% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.635 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -2.72% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.631 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -5.72% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.631 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -2.72% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.655 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -12.74% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.655 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -5.80% · 1-day return: -5.80% · Beta (60d): 1.93 · Sector return (1d): -1.60% · Sector return: -1.60% · Borrowed drop: -2.72% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 1.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.297 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.59% |
| 2026-06-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.297 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): 1.84 · Sector return (1d): -2.03% · Sector return: -2.03% · Borrowed drop: -0.07% |
| 2026-06-21 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.559 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.837 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.08% · 1-day return: 3.08% · Beta (60d): 1.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.08% |
| 2026-06-21 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.471 | 1 | persisting | Pair Twin: CMI · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: 2.11 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.842 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.08% · 1-day return: 3.08% · Beta (60d): 1.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.08% |
| 2026-06-20 | P1 · Pair Divergence | partial | 0.842 | 1 | new | Pair Twin: CMI · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: 2.11 · Pair Direction: short_fragility · Pair State: partial · Gate pass: Yes |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.848 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 3.08% · 1-day return: 3.08% · Beta (60d): 1.80 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: 3.08% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.837 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 2.90% · 1-day return: 2.90% · Beta (60d): 1.79 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-11 | N1 · Distribution Top | primed | 0.989 | 1 | new | Dist 52w High: -0.05 · Near 52w High: Yes · Rsi 14: 52.47 · Rsi Divergence: Yes · Sma Dist 10: -0.00 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.559 | 2 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-05 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.548 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.01 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 1.74 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 1.68 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |