GM
General Motors
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
26
rows
Days on list
1
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
5 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
A2 · Oversold Sympathypartialnew
score: 0.394confluence: 2days: 1as of 2026-07-23
Triggers:ret_1d -3.5%quality:passdemoted:partial explained by recent_earnings (attribution_confidence=high)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop +2.98pp (below threshold)sector_explained 1.45×-4.5%=-6.5pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.52%
1-day return
-3.52%
Beta (60d)
1.45
Sector return (1d)
-4.48%
Sector return
-4.48%
Borrowed drop
2.98%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftprimedpersisting
score: 0.496confluence: 1days: 6as of 2026-07-27
Triggers:quality:passeps_beat:primed (0.123 >= 0.1)earnings_6d_ago
Dislocation:
Eps Surprise
0.12
Days Since Earnings
6.00
Recency Max
10.00
Primed Floor
0.10
Partial Floor
0.03
Direction Of Evidence
pead_beat_continuation
Honesty Caveat
PROVISIONAL. Validated in a single calm post-2022 regime only — no bear in-sample. rank-IC 5d +0.128 [+0.034,+0.216]; 10d +0.125. DISTINCT FROM A1 (A1 is contrarian gap-down recovery; A8 is continuation in the beat direction, no gap-down required). CONTEXT — never advice.
Analyst
[object Object]
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimednew
score: 0.003confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-07-14
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-0.0%failure_vol:weak:0.06sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.11
Sma Dist 20
-0.02
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-0.01%
Regime at flag: TRANSITIONAL
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recoveryactive
4 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
5 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
1 day
A3 · Positioning Extreme
4 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
12 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/4 directionally right · mean -1.2% · small sample, illustrative not proof
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+7.8%open · MTM
A8 · PEAD Beat Driftlong recovery2026-07-23 → open3 bars
+6.9%open · MTM
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-14 → 2026-07-163 bars
-1.2%dropped
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-5.5%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-11 → 2026-06-227 bars
+0.4%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-083 bars
+1.6%closed
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.496 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-24 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.480 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 3.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.394 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 1.45 · Sector return (1d): -4.48% · Sector return: -4.48% · Borrowed drop: 2.98% |
| 2026-07-23 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.452 | 1 | persisting | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 2.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-22 | A8 · PEAD Beat Drift | primed | 0.423 | 1 | new | Eps Surprise: 0.12 · Days Since Earnings: 1.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10 · Partial Floor: 0.03 · Direction Of Evidence: pead_beat_continuation |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.78 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-07-14 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.003 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.11 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.242 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 1.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.242 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 1.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-07-01 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.467 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: 0.13% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.242 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 1.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.55% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.217 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 1.55 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.49% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.971 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.55% · 1-day return: -0.55% · Beta (60d): 1.55 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.14% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.78 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.239 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.00% · 1-day return: 0.00% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.53% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.467 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: 0.13% |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.028 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.86% · 1-day return: -1.86% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.06% |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.160 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.37% |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.160 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.37% |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.160 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.37% · 1-day return: -0.37% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.37% |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.011 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.03% · 1-day return: -0.03% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.467 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.467 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -3.62% · 1-day return: -3.62% · Beta (60d): 1.48 · Sector return (1d): -2.54% · Sector return: -2.54% · Borrowed drop: 0.13% |
| 2026-06-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.209 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -5.35% · 1-day return: -5.35% · Beta (60d): 1.38 · Sector return (1d): -2.08% · Sector return: -2.08% · Borrowed drop: -2.48% |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.78 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.07 · Dist 52w Low: 0.75 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |