CMC
Commercial Metals
Screener candidate detail · 1 active archetype
Active
1
archetypes
History
40
rows
Days on list
5
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.602confluence: 1days: 5as of 2026-07-20
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-1.3%failure_vol:weak:0.41sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.21
Sma Dist 20
-0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-1.35%
Regime at flag: RISK-ON
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
5 daysripe: Loaded
A2 · Oversold Sympathy
10 days
A3 · Positioning Extreme
10 days
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
15 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 2/5 directionally right · mean -6.8% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-17 → open7 bars
-4.8%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
+4.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-07-019 bars
-15.3%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-17 → 2026-06-223 bars
+1.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-17.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2917 bars
-7.2%dropped
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.486 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.602 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.791 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.486 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.492 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.892 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.83% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.486 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.892 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.83% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.620 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.492 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.620 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.892 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.83% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.892 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.00% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.891 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.76% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.891 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.00% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.908 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -13.22% |
| 2026-06-26 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.908 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.00% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.364 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.20% · 1-day return: 0.20% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-24 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.639 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Sector return (1d): -1.34% · Sector return: -1.34% · Borrowed drop: -2.59% |
| 2026-06-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.364 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.98% · 1-day return: -2.98% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.21% |
| 2026-06-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.581 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.581 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.669 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.669 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.734 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.734 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.090 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.21% · 1-day return: -0.21% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.492 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.639 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.639 | 2 | new | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Sector return (1d): -1.34% · Sector return: -1.34% · Borrowed drop: -2.59% |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.201 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.44% · 1-day return: -0.44% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.94% · 1-day return: -0.94% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.006 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.01% · 1-day return: 0.01% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.61 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |