CMC
Commercial Metals
Screener candidate detail · 3 active archetypes
Active
3
archetypes
History
51
rows
Days on list
7
oldest active
Screener Funnel
✓Fired
4 archetypes
✓S1 signal
reached primed
✓S2 deep set
conviction stamped
○Promoted
not promoted
Stages a name passes through: fired an archetype → reached an S1 signal (state ≥ partial) → entered the S2 deep-enrichment set (conviction stamped) → promoted to the watchlist. Each step is "ever reached" across this name's recorded history (capped at 60 rows — a very long-lived name's earliest episodes may fall outside this window).
Active Candidacies
N3 · Failed Breakoutprimedpersisting
score: 0.924confluence: 1days: 7as of 2026-09-09
Triggers:quality:passrecent_breakout_above:sma20failure_bar:-2.5%failure_vol:weak:0.85sustained_below
Dislocation:
Breakout Level
sma20
Dist 52w High
-0.17
Sma Dist 20
0.00
Recent Push
Yes
Below Level
Yes
Failure Bar
Yes
Sustained Below
Yes
1-day return
-2.55%
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A2 · Oversold Sympathyprimednew
score: 0.213confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-10
Triggers:ret_1d -3.5%quality:passunexplained:idiosyncratic — real A2 (attribution_confidence=low; low confidence here = HIGH A2 conviction)no_own_news (weak flag — store coverage limited)borrowed_drop -2.17pp (unexplained)sector_explained 1.07×-1.2%=-1.3pp
Dislocation:
1-day return
-3.48%
1-day return
-3.48%
Beta (60d)
1.07
Sector return (1d)
-1.23%
Sector return
-1.23%
Borrowed drop
-2.17%
Own news
No
Newsless
Yes
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
A3 · Positioning Extremepartialnew
score: 0.000confluence: 1days: 1as of 2026-09-11
Triggers:short_pct 5.5% (below 15% floor)days_to_cover 5.17 (extreme)ret_20d -9.9% (falling)dist_52w_low +19.4% (above lows)price_holding:not_confirmedprice_resilient:not_confirmed (needs ret_20d >= +5% for primed)skew:no_options_data (co_options_daily absent — sparse by design)quality:pass
Dislocation:
Short Pct Float
5.53
Days To Cover
5.17
Ret 20d
-0.10
Dist 52w Low
0.19
Short Extreme
Yes
Short Pct Extreme
No
Days To Cover Extreme
Yes
Price Holding
No
Regime at flag: CAUTIOUS
Promote to Watchlist
Seeds the company layer immediately; full deep-data scaffold runs in the background.
Lifecycle Timeline
One strip per archetype, oldest → newest. Each cell is a trading day the screener recorded this name; color = lifecycle status. A ● marks a day the name was in the buy zone (ripeness confirmed/loaded); a left gap marks the start of a new candidacy episode.
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recoveryactive
12 days
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recoveryactive
15 days
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragilityactive
9 daysripe: Loaded
A5 · Mechanical Reversion
15 days
newpersistingdecayedexitedpromotedunknownripe day
Realized Episodes
Each completed candidacy graded as a "would-have" trade: entered when the archetype began flagging this name, exited when the screener dropped it. Return is direction-adjusted and market-adjusted (minus SPY, where available) — hindsight, not advice. Open episodes are marked-to-market and excluded from the tally.
Closed: 3/8 directionally right · mean -4.7% · small sample, illustrative not proof
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-09-03 → open6 bars
+4.1%open · MTM
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-08-20 → 2026-08-243 bars
+0.7%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-30 → 2026-07-312 bars
-1.4%closed
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-07-17 → 2026-07-224 bars
-3.2%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-07-10 → 2026-07-132 bars
+4.6%closed
A2 · Oversold Sympathylong recovery2026-06-18 → 2026-07-019 bars
-15.3%dropped
N3 · Failed Breakoutshort fragility2026-06-17 → 2026-06-223 bars
+1.0%closed
A5 · Mechanical Reversionlong recovery2026-06-15 → 2026-06-3011 bars
-17.1%closed
A3 · Positioning Extremelong recovery2026-06-04 → 2026-06-2917 bars
-7.2%closed
2 episodes could not be priced (missing OHLCV) and are omitted.
Lifecycle History(newest first, up to 60 rows)
| Date | Archetype | State | Score | Confluence | Status | Dislocation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | new | Short Pct Float: 5.53 · Days To Cover: 5.17 · Ret 20d: -0.10 · Dist 52w Low: 0.19 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-09-10 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | primed | 0.213 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.48% · 1-day return: -3.48% · Beta (60d): 1.07 · Sector return (1d): -1.23% · Sector return: -1.23% · Borrowed drop: -2.17% |
| 2026-09-09 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.924 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.191 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.17 · Sma Dist 20: -0.02 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-09-03 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.652 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -4.32% · 1-day return: -4.32% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Sector return (1d): -0.19% · Sector return: -0.19% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-08-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.652 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -4.32% · 1-day return: -4.32% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Sector return (1d): -0.19% · Sector return: -0.19% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-08-20 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.652 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.32% · 1-day return: -4.32% · Beta (60d): 0.94 · Sector return (1d): -0.19% · Sector return: -0.19% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-08-19 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.805 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -4.05% · 1-day return: -4.05% · Beta (60d): 0.91 · Sector return (1d): 1.42% · Sector return: 1.42% · Borrowed drop: -5.34% |
| 2026-08-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.602 | 1 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-08-12 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.215 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.25 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.00% |
| 2026-08-06 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | exited | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-08-05 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.215 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.25 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.00% |
| 2026-08-03 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.602 | 1 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.215 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): 1.25 · Sector return (1d): -1.15% · Sector return: -1.15% · Borrowed drop: -2.00% |
| 2026-07-23 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.486 | 1 | exited | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-20 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.602 | 1 | persisting | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.21 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.791 | 1 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.20 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-16 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.486 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-16 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | decayed | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-07-15 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.492 | 2 | exited | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-07-13 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.892 | 2 | exited | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.83% |
| 2026-07-09 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.486 | 1 | new | 1-day return: -3.21% · 1-day return: -3.21% · Beta (60d): 1.27 · Sector return (1d): 0.20% · Sector return: 0.20% · Borrowed drop: -3.46% |
| 2026-07-06 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.892 | 2 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.83% |
| 2026-07-06 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.620 | 1 | decayed | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-07-01 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.492 | 2 | decayed | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-29 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.620 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Sector return (1d): -1.84% · Sector return: -1.84% · Borrowed drop: -4.14% |
| 2026-06-28 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.892 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.83% |
| 2026-06-28 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.892 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.00% |
| 2026-06-27 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.891 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: -0.04% · Beta Residual Pct: -6.76% |
| 2026-06-27 | A2 · Oversold Sympathy | partial | 0.891 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Sector return (1d): -0.46% · Sector return: -0.46% · Borrowed drop: -6.00% |
| 2026-06-26 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | primed | 0.908 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -6.83% · 1-day return: -6.83% · Beta (60d): 1.78 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.04 · Spy Ret Pct: 3.60% · Beta Residual Pct: -13.22% |
| 2026-06-25 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.569 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-24 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.364 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.20% · 1-day return: 0.20% · Beta (60d): 1.49 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.36% · Beta Residual Pct: -0.34% |
| 2026-06-24 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.364 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.03 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-23 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -2.98% · 1-day return: -2.98% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: -0.01 · Spy Ret Pct: -1.20% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.21% |
| 2026-06-23 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.539 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.47 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-22 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.643 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.52 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-21 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.581 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-21 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.581 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-20 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.669 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-20 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.669 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: 4.62 · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-19 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.734 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -1.18% · 1-day return: -1.18% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: 0.00 · Spy Ret Pct: 0.00% · Beta Residual Pct: -1.18% |
| 2026-06-19 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.734 | 2 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Days To Cover: 5.20 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.50 · Short Extreme: Yes · Short Pct Extreme: No |
| 2026-06-18 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.090 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.21% · 1-day return: -0.21% · Beta (60d): 1.56 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-17 | N3 · Failed Breakout | primed | 0.492 | 2 | new | Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.09 · Sma Dist 20: -0.00 · Recent Push: Yes · Below Level: Yes · Failure Bar: Yes |
| 2026-06-17 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.639 | 2 | persisting | 1-day return: -4.63% · 1-day return: -4.63% · Beta (60d): 1.53 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-16 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.201 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.44% · 1-day return: -0.44% · Beta (60d): 1.47 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-15 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.446 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: -0.94% · 1-day return: -0.94% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-14 | A5 · Mechanical Reversion | partial | 0.006 | 1 | persisting | 1-day return: 0.01% · 1-day return: 0.01% · Beta (60d): 1.57 · Spy Ret 1d: — · Spy Ret Pct: — · Beta Residual Pct: — |
| 2026-06-04 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.61 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |
| 2026-06-03 | A3 · Positioning Extreme | partial | 0.000 | 1 | persisting | Short Pct Float: — · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.60 · Short Extreme: No · Price Holding: Yes · Options Legs Enabled: Yes |