Screener
Single-name candidates ranked by confluence Β· as of 2026-07-27
The screener reads the full S&P 900 universe, runs every name through each dislocation archetype, and shows every name that fired an archetype today (the full candidate log).How the screener works β
Longs (3)
144.23 β 140.40-1.1% vs SPY
- Β·locked 2026-07-06 (morning)
- Β·entry 144.23 @ 2026-07-06
- Β·invalidates: close < 139.27
day 15/20
209.75 β 205.83-0.7% vs SPY
- Β·locked 2026-07-20 (evening)
- Β·entry 209.75 @ 2026-07-21
- Β·invalidates: close < 193.38
day 4/20
224.00 β 223.83+1.8% vs SPY
- Β·locked 2026-07-13 (evening)
- Β·entry 224.00 @ 2026-07-14
- Β·invalidates: close < 216.75
day 9/20
Shorts (2)
76.97 β 76.40-0.2% vs SPY
- Β·locked 2026-07-21 (evening)
- Β·entry 76.97 @ 2026-07-22
- Β·invalidates: close > 80.28
day 3/5
112.54 β β
- Β·locked 2026-07-24 (evening)
- Β·entry 112.54 @ 2026-07-27
- Β·invalidates: close > 116.43
day 0/5
Competing for open slots (5)Β· open: 0L / 0S Β· locks at the next screener run
Board-pick snapshot: longs 68% (n=44) Β· shorts 49% (n=43) (n=87)
1-2 week swing, not day-trading Β· calm-conditional Β· graded, not advice Β·what the badges mean
What Company Action Board β the pick-contract position book: picks lock on a ripe + slot win and hold to horizon or invalidation, immune to day-to-day trigger flicker.
So-what Use as a watchlist filter, not a sizing directive. The countdown chip is the hold clock; the stop chip is the mechanical invalidation; competing names lock only when a slot frees.
Contract-graded record β each pick held to its ACTUAL exit (horizon / price-invalidation / adverse-regime), market-adjusted vs SPY. The strictest board lens: a live, growing ledger over a calm regime β not a forecast, not a proven track record. The credibility label is a display state; it licenses no sizing.
Closed record β held to exit
Contract-graded record β each locked pick graded as a held position to its exit Β· graded, not advice
Candidates
27
filtered: structural_derate_continuation
Universe
903
S&P 900 members (500+400)
Archetypes
1
N4
As of
2026-07-27
screener trade date
not active β macro drawdown read is low (score 42.7); the hedge shortlist lights up only when the macro drawdown read is elevated (['elevated', 'high'])
Archetype calibration
per-horizon Β· market-adjustedForward-grading (locked 2026-06-23). This is a young, single-episode substrate β the apparent in-sample edge is mostly sector beta, not yet stock-selection skill. Rates read at one horizon per pill (never blended across horizons), excess over SPY, intent-aware. First out-of-sample checkpoint ~2026-07-21. Calibrated rows are solid; still-accruing rows are dimmed.How this is graded β
135765 predictions accruing Β· first maturations ~Jul 6 Β· hit-rates unlock at 30 matured per archetype.
1N5Revision Collapseshort60.0% @5d-0.05% meann=15calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 62.5% | -0.42% | 16 | 14β56% |
| 3d | 75.0% | -0.35% | 16 | 4β36% |
| 5d | 60.0% | -0.05% | 15 | 15β58% |
| 10d | 23.1% | 3.87% | 13 | 50β92% |
| 20d | 25.0% | 2.95% | 4 | 15β85% |
| 30d | 50.0% | 2.48% | 2 | 0β66% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
2A2Oversold Sympathylong51.8% @5d0.32% meann=461calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 49.3% | -0.02% | 456 | 47β56% |
| 3d | 52.9% | -0.08% | 456 | 44β54% |
| 5d | 51.8% | 0.32% | 461 | 42β51% |
| 10d | 50.0% | 0.19% | 406 | 44β54% |
| 20d | 48.3% | -1.16% | 261 | 46β59% |
| 30d | 48.6% | -0.81% | 144 | 39β55% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
3N3Failed Breakoutshort44.1% @5d0.54% meann=833calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 53.8% | -0.12% | 832 | 47β53% |
| 3d | 50.7% | 0.14% | 832 | 47β54% |
| 5d | 44.1% | 0.54% | 833 | 48β55% |
| 10d | 46.3% | 0.24% | 678 | 50β57% |
| 20d | 47.1% | 0.59% | 408 | 53β63% |
| 30d | 52.7% | -0.69% | 129 | 50β66% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
4P1Pair Divergencelong47.1% @5d0.33% meann=34calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 40.0% | -0.14% | 45 | 25β52% |
| 3d | 46.7% | 0.20% | 45 | 29β57% |
| 5d | 47.1% | 0.33% | 34 | 37β69% |
| 10d | 55.6% | 0.54% | 18 | 29β71% |
| 20d | 57.1% | 0.55% | 7 | 25β84% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
5A8PEAD Beat Driftlong48.1% @5d-0.22% meann=27calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 48.1% | -0.22% | 27 | 28β63% |
| 10d | 30.8% | -3.19% | 13 | 29β77% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
6A5Mechanical Reversionlong42.6% @5d-0.38% meann=359calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 31.5% | -1.26% | 270 | 38β50% |
| 3d | 25.6% | -1.98% | 270 | 32β43% |
| 5d | 42.6% | -0.38% | 359 | 44β54% |
| 10d | 39.1% | -0.85% | 358 | 44β54% |
| 20d | 41.7% | -1.78% | 357 | 47β57% |
| 30d | 44.9% | -1.00% | 356 | 42β52% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
7N1Distribution Topshort36.9% @5d1.05% meann=236calibratedβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 40.3% | 0.29% | 243 | 41β53% |
| 3d | 35.8% | 0.63% | 243 | 45β57% |
| 5d | 36.9% | 1.05% | 236 | 45β58% |
| 10d | 41.5% | 1.01% | 193 | 41β55% |
| 20d | 39.5% | 0.41% | 119 | 37β54% |
| 30d | 27.7% | 3.52% | 65 | 26β49% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
Β·N2Overextended Blowoffshortaccruing (22/30)~Jul 28accruingβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 0.0% | 0.82% | 4 | 5β70% |
| 3d | 75.0% | -1.86% | 4 | 15β85% |
| 5d | 80.0% | -1.56% | 5 | 38β96% |
| 10d | 60.0% | -0.19% | 5 | 23β88% |
| 20d | 33.3% | 0.43% | 3 | 21β94% |
| 30d | 0.0% | 0.43% | 1 | 21β100% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
Β·N4Structural-Derate Continuationshortaccruing (20/30)~Jul 28accruingβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | 33.3% | 1.12% | 3 | 6β79% |
| 3d | 33.3% | 1.12% | 3 | 6β79% |
| 5d | 0.0% | 4.89% | 4 | 0β49% |
| 10d | 25.0% | 1.44% | 4 | 5β70% |
| 20d | 33.3% | 7.81% | 3 | 6β79% |
| 30d | 33.3% | 4.75% | 3 | 6β79% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
Β·N6PEAD Miss Driftshortaccruing (2/30)~Jul 28accruingβΊ
| Horizon | Excess hit | Mean excess | n | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5d | 0.0% | 7.79% | 1 | 0β79% |
| 10d | 0.0% | 5.11% | 1 | 0β79% |
Experimental β confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) βΊ
The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading β no edge is asserted.
Β·A3Positioning Extremelongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 22accruingβΊ
No matured horizons yet β 45075 predictions recorded, 18238 pending.
Β·A4Pre-Catalyst Coilinglongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 6accruingβΊ
No matured horizons yet β 9807 predictions recorded, 3592 pending.
Excess = return minus SPY over the same window; hit = excess > 0 for long archetypes, < 0 for short. An empty bucket shows "β", not 0%.
Showing the most recent board from 2026-07-27
The screener runs twice each trading day β 10:30 and 17:30 ET. This board updates automatically after the next run completes.
| Ticker | Archetypes | State | Score | Conviction | Confluence | Movement | Ripeness | Dislocation | Sector | Realized Return | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TSCOβΌ SHORT Tractor Supply | partial | 0.726 | 64mediumuncal. | 3 | persisting34dβ²10 | Stale24/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta -0.14 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -29.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
LVSβΌ SHORT Las Vegas Sands | partial | 0.434 | 68highuncal. | 3 | persisting27dβΌ1 | Late19/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 24 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
BSXβΌ SHORT Boston Scientific | partial | 0.927 | β | 1 | persisting33dβ²10 | Stale23/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta -0.35 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -38.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 66 >= 60 (elevated) | Health CareβΌ headwind | β | ||
ZTSβΌ SHORT Zoetis | partial | 0.855 | 48mediumuncal. | 1 | persisting19dβ²4 | Confirmed13/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta -0.01 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 56 < 60 (calm) | Health CareβΌ headwind | β | ||
CPRIβΌ SHORT Capri Holdings | partial | 0.659 | β | 1 | persisting14d | Building10/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.20 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -24.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 41 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
NFLXβΌ SHORT Netflix | partial | 0.620 | 56mediumuncal. | 1 | persisting36d | Stale26/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.02 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 70 >= 60 (elevated) | Communication Servicesβ² tailwind | β | ||
NKEβΌ SHORT Nike, Inc. | partial | 0.569 | β | 1 | persisting32dβ²7 | Stale22/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.81 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -22.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 66 >= 60 (elevated) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
APTVβΌ SHORT Aptiv | partial | 0.502 | β | 1 | persisting5dβ²13 | Building3/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.90 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -20.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 29 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
| KKR & Co. | partial | 0.483 | β | 1 | decayed32d | Stale22/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.27 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -20.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 55 < 60 (calm) | Financialsβ² tailwind | β | ||
| Houlihan Lokey | partial | 0.444 | β | 1 | decayed38d | Stale26/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -19.0% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 69 >= 60 (elevated) | Financialsβ² tailwind | β | ||
TTDβΌ SHORT The Trade Desk | partial | 0.360 | β | 1 | persisting11dβ²230 | Building7/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.59 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -40.7% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 34 < 60 (calm) | Communication Servicesβ² tailwind | β | ||
ACMβΌ SHORT AECOM | partial | 0.353 | β | 1 | persisting38dβΌ2 | Stale26/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.51 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -23.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated) | Industrialsβ² tailwind | β | ||
DLBβΌ SHORT Dolby | partial | 0.353 | β | 1 | persisting38dβ²296 | Stale26/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.35 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.6% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 75 >= 60 (elevated) | Technologyβ² tailwind | β | ||
GAPβΌ SHORT Gap Inc. | partial | 0.353 | β | 1 | persisting29dβ²264 | Stale21/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.76 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 60 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
WYNNβΌ SHORT Wynn Resorts | partial | 0.353 | β | 1 | persisting26dβΌ386 | Late18/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.24 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -9.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 11 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
GEHCβΌ SHORT GE HealthCare | partial | 0.254 | β | 1 | persisting6dβΌ8 | Building4/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.23 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -16.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 73 >= 60 (elevated) | Health CareβΌ headwind | β | ||
| Meta Platforms | partial | 0.190 | β | 1 | decayed32d | Stale22/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.29 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -15.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 67 >= 60 (elevated) | Communication Servicesβ² tailwind | β | ||
CNMβΌ SHORT Core & Main | partial | 0.153 | β | 1 | persisting8dβΌ8 | Building6/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -14.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 39 < 60 (calm) | Industrialsβ² tailwind | β | ||
SNPSβΌ SHORT Synopsys | partial | 0.128 | β | 1 | persisting11dβΌ39 | Building7/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.90 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 56 < 60 (calm) | Technologyβ² tailwind | β | ||
UBERβΌ SHORT Uber | partial | 0.126 | β | 1 | persisting4dβΌ355 | Building2/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.70 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 63 >= 60 (elevated) | Industrialsβ² tailwind | β | ||
IDXXβΌ SHORT Idexx Laboratories | partial | 0.021 | β | 1 | persisting27dβΌ14 | Late19/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.52 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.5% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 75 >= 60 (elevated) | Health CareβΌ headwind | β | ||
CRHβΌ SHORT CRH plc | partial | 0.020 | β | 1 | persisting8dβΌ13 | Building6/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.26 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -10.8% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 32 < 60 (calm) | Materialsβ² tailwind | β | ||
CHDNβΌ SHORT Churchill Downs Inc. | partial | 0.002 | β | 1 | persisting15dβΌ4 | Building11/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.30 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -7.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 52 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
LENβΌ SHORT Lennar | partial | 0.000 | β | 1 | persisting36dβΌ471 | Stale26/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.21 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -17.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 12 < 60 (calm) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
OLEDβΌ SHORT Universal Display | partial | 0.000 | 49mediumuncal. | 1 | persisting11dβ²3 | Confirmed7/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 1.51 >= 1.30 (high),sma_dist_200 -23.4% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 47 < 60 (calm) | Technologyβ² tailwind | β | ||
POOLβΌ SHORT Pool Corporation | partial | 0.000 | β | 1 | new1dΒ· 0 | Fresh1/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.08 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -18.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 75 >= 60 (elevated) | Consumer Discretionaryβ² tailwind | β | ||
PSKYβΌ SHORT Paramount Skydance Corporation | partial | 0.000 | β | 1 | persisting19dΒ· 0 | Building13/20d | Regime Tag: structural_derate Β· Fragile: No Β· Gate Abstained: No Β· Fragility Reasons: beta 0.86 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -32.2% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 35 < 60 (calm) | Communication Servicesβ² tailwind | β |
Screener runs twice each trading day (10:30 and 17:30 ET). Candidates decay after their per-archetype relevance window. Sort and archetype filters update via URL params (SSR re-fetch).