Screener

Single-name candidates ranked by confluence · as of 2026-07-27

Regime:—

The screener reads the full S&P 900 universe, runs every name through each dislocation archetype, and shows every name that fired an archetype today (the full candidate log).How the screener works →

Company Action Boardas of 17:32 ET

open book mean-0.1% vs SPYsnapshot, not live — refreshes twice daily

RegimeCalm regime — balanced board

Changeslocked 2026-07-24: RBA (S)exited 2026-07-24: BKH (horizon)

Longs (3)

DTMNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

high

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-06day 15/20stop < 139.27

144.23 → 140.40-1.1% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-06 (morning)
·entry 144.23 @ 2026-07-06
·invalidates: close < 139.27

day 15/20

FSLRNO-BETPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-20day 4/20stop < 193.38

209.75 → 205.83-0.7% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-20 (evening)
·entry 209.75 @ 2026-07-21
·invalidates: close < 193.38

day 4/20

IEXNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-13day 9/20stop < 216.75

224.00 → 223.83+1.8% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-13 (evening)
·entry 224.00 @ 2026-07-14
·invalidates: close < 216.75

day 9/20

Shorts (2)

IFFNO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-21day 3/5stop > 80.28

76.97 → 76.40-0.2% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-21 (evening)
·entry 76.97 @ 2026-07-22
·invalidates: close > 80.28

day 3/5

RBANO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-24day 0/5stop > 116.43

112.54 → —

·locked 2026-07-24 (evening)
·entry 112.54 @ 2026-07-27
·invalidates: close > 116.43

day 0/5

Competing for open slots (5)· open: 0L / 0S · locks at the next screener run

BXhighNO-BETPLDhighNO-BETUNPhighNO-BETLVShighNO-BETVLYmediumNO-BET

Board-pick snapshot: longs 68% (n=44) · shorts 49% (n=43) (n=87)

1-2 week swing, not day-trading · calm-conditional · graded, not advice ·what the badges mean

What Company Action Board — the pick-contract position book: picks lock on a ripe + slot win and hold to horizon or invalidation, immune to day-to-day trigger flicker.

So-what Use as a watchlist filter, not a sizing directive. The countdown chip is the hold clock; the stop chip is the mechanical invalidation; competing names lock only when a slot frees.

Board Record — contracts heldWARMING

7 closed / needs 10 to show a rate

Contract-graded record — each pick held to its ACTUAL exit (horizon / price-invalidation / adverse-regime), market-adjusted vs SPY. The strictest board lens: a live, growing ledger over a calm regime — not a forecast, not a proven track record. The credibility label is a display state; it licenses no sizing.

Closed record — held to exit

Hit rate71%

Mean excess+0.2%vs SPY

n=7

Held to horizonn=5

100% hit+2.2%

Price stopn=2

0% hit-4.7%

Contract-graded record — each locked pick graded as a held position to its exit · graded, not advice

View:Best 30 winners All candidates

Candidates

filtered: pair_divergence

Universe

903

S&P 900 members (500+400)

Archetypes

As of

2026-07-27

screener trade date

Today:

5 new6 persisting20 other

Fresh flags vs. carried-over candidates.

Sector Dislocation— which sectors are throwing the most candidates

Financials7 · avg 1.4

Technology7 · avg 1.1

Utilities5 · avg 1.6

Consumer Discretionary5 · avg 1.6

Materials3 · avg 1.7

Real Estate2 · avg 1.5

Industrials1 · avg 2

Health Care1 · avg 1

Hedge shortlistnot active · macro lowcontext / triage — not a directive

not active — macro drawdown read is low (score 42.7); the hedge shortlist lights up only when the macro drawdown read is elevated (['elevated', 'high'])

Tab:Primed Board Track Record

Archetype:All P1 · Pair Divergence

Direction:All ▲ Long ▼ Short ◆ Neutral

Ripeness:All stages ✓ Ripe only (3)

Sort:Conviction Confluence Score Days Ticker

Archetype calibration

per-horizon · market-adjusted

Forward-grading (locked 2026-06-23). This is a young, single-episode substrate — the apparent in-sample edge is mostly sector beta, not yet stock-selection skill. Rates read at one horizon per pill (never blended across horizons), excess over SPY, intent-aware. First out-of-sample checkpoint ~2026-07-21. Calibrated rows are solid; still-accruing rows are dimmed.How this is graded →

135765 predictions accruing · first maturations ~Jul 6 · hit-rates unlock at 30 matured per archetype.

1N5Revision Collapseshort60.0% @5d-0.05% meann=15calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	62.5%	-0.42%	16	14–56%
3d	75.0%	-0.35%	16	4–36%
5d	60.0%	-0.05%	15	15–58%
10d	23.1%	3.87%	13	50–92%
20d	25.0%	2.95%	4	15–85%
30d	50.0%	2.48%	2	0–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed60.0%n=15partial—n=0

Confluence:

133.3%n=3275.0%n=83+50.0%n=4

Score band:

lo70.0%n=10mid33.3%n=3hi50.0%n=2

2A2Oversold Sympathylong51.8% @5d0.32% meann=461calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	49.3%	-0.02%	456	47–56%
3d	52.9%	-0.08%	456	44–54%
5d	51.8%	0.32%	461	42–51%
10d	50.0%	0.19%	406	44–54%
20d	48.3%	-1.16%	261	46–59%
30d	48.6%	-0.81%	144	39–55%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed51.8%n=461partial—n=0

Confluence:

153.7%n=231248.6%n=1853+55.6%n=45

Score band:

lo51.9%n=158mid55.9%n=186hi45.3%n=117

3N3Failed Breakoutshort44.1% @5d0.54% meann=833calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	53.8%	-0.12%	832	47–53%
3d	50.7%	0.14%	832	47–54%
5d	44.1%	0.54%	833	48–55%
10d	46.3%	0.24%	678	50–57%
20d	47.1%	0.59%	408	53–63%
30d	52.7%	-0.69%	129	50–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed44.1%n=833partial—n=0

Confluence:

142.9%n=734252.2%n=923+57.1%n=7

Score band:

lo45.0%n=491mid44.7%n=190hi40.1%n=152

4P1Pair Divergencelong47.1% @5d0.33% meann=34calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.0%	-0.14%	45	25–52%
3d	46.7%	0.20%	45	29–57%
5d	47.1%	0.33%	34	37–69%
10d	55.6%	0.54%	18	29–71%
20d	57.1%	0.55%	7	25–84%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed47.1%n=34partial—n=0

Confluence:

146.2%n=26257.1%n=73+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi47.1%n=34

5A8PEAD Beat Driftlong48.1% @5d-0.22% meann=27calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	48.1%	-0.22%	27	28–63%
10d	30.8%	-3.19%	13	29–77%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed48.1%n=27partial—n=0

Confluence:

152.4%n=21240.0%n=53+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo33.3%n=6mid54.5%n=11hi50.0%n=10

6A5Mechanical Reversionlong42.6% @5d-0.38% meann=359calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	31.5%	-1.26%	270	38–50%
3d	25.6%	-1.98%	270	32–43%
5d	42.6%	-0.38%	359	44–54%
10d	39.1%	-0.85%	358	44–54%
20d	41.7%	-1.78%	357	47–57%
30d	44.9%	-1.00%	356	42–52%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed42.6%n=359partial—n=0

Confluence:

139.8%n=133240.5%n=1903+63.9%n=36

Score band:

lo—n=0mid51.9%n=27hi41.9%n=332

7N1Distribution Topshort36.9% @5d1.05% meann=236calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.3%	0.29%	243	41–53%
3d	35.8%	0.63%	243	45–57%
5d	36.9%	1.05%	236	45–58%
10d	41.5%	1.01%	193	41–55%
20d	39.5%	0.41%	119	37–54%
30d	27.7%	3.52%	65	26–49%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed36.9%n=236partial—n=0

Confluence:

135.9%n=206246.2%n=263+25.0%n=4

Score band:

lo36.1%n=97mid37.8%n=82hi36.8%n=57

·N2Overextended Blowoffshortaccruing (22/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	0.0%	0.82%	4	5–70%
3d	75.0%	-1.86%	4	15–85%
5d	80.0%	-1.56%	5	38–96%
10d	60.0%	-0.19%	5	23–88%
20d	33.3%	0.43%	3	21–94%
30d	0.0%	0.43%	1	21–100%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed80.0%n=5partial—n=0

Confluence:

1100.0%n=3250.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo50.0%n=2mid—n=0hi100.0%n=3

·N4Structural-Derate Continuationshortaccruing (20/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
3d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
5d	0.0%	4.89%	4	0–49%
10d	25.0%	1.44%	4	5–70%
20d	33.3%	7.81%	3	6–79%
30d	33.3%	4.75%	3	6–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=4partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=220.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=4

·N6PEAD Miss Driftshortaccruing (2/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	0.0%	7.79%	1	0–79%
10d	0.0%	5.11%	1	0–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=1partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=12—n=03+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=1

·A3Positioning Extremelongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 22accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 45075 predictions recorded, 18238 pending.

·A4Pre-Catalyst Coilinglongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 6accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 9807 predictions recorded, 3592 pending.

Excess = return minus SPY over the same window; hit = excess > 0 for long archetypes, < 0 for short. An empty bucket shows "—", not 0%.

Showing the most recent board from 2026-07-27

The screener runs twice each trading day — 10:30 and 17:30 ET. This board updates automatically after the next run completes.

What changed todayNew (91):AAL,ABBV,ADM,AEE,AEP,AIZ,AM,AMKR,APA,AR+81 moreDropped (63):AA,AAON,ALGM,ALLY,APH,AVAV,AVGO,AXP,BEN,BLK+53 more

Ticker	Archetypes	State	Score	Conviction	Confluence	Movement	Ripeness	Dislocation	Sector	Realized Return
CMS CMS Energy	◆ P1	primed	0.811	41mediumpass	2	exited36d▼305	Stale26/10d	Pair Twin: AEE · Pair Correlation: 0.86 · Pair Spread Z: 3.92 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Utilities▼ headwind	—
KKR KKR & Co.	◆ P1	partial	0.809	36mediumpass	2	exited34d	Stale24/10d	Pair Twin: BX · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: -2.90 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Financials▲ tailwind	—
CNP CenterPoint Energy	◆ P1	primed	0.743	41mediumpass	2	exited32d▼1	Stale22/10d	Pair Twin: AEE · Pair Correlation: 0.81 · Pair Spread Z: 4.20 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Utilities▼ headwind	—
UBSI United Bankshares	◆ P1	partial	0.656	36mediumpass	2	exited32d▲4	Stale22/10d	Pair Twin: HOMB · Pair Correlation: 0.87 · Pair Spread Z: -2.83 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Financials▲ tailwind	—
DE Deere & Company	◆ P1	partial	0.652	56mediumfull	2	exited32d▲2	Stale22/10d	Pair Twin: CNH · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -2.33 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
LEN Lennar	◆ P1	partial	0.586	41mediumpass	2	exited29d▼471	Stale21/10d	Pair Twin: PHM · Pair Correlation: 0.87 · Pair Spread Z: -2.53 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
AVNT▲ LONG Avient	◆ P1	partial	0.553	60mediumdegraded	2	new1d	Fresh1/10d	Pair Twin: RPM · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.54 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Materials▲ tailwind	—
JBL Jabil	◆ P1	partial	0.482	—	2	exited33d	Stale23/10d	Pair Twin: FLEX · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: 2.20 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Technology▲ tailwind	—
BRX▲ LONG Brixmor Property Group	◆ P1	partial	0.394	—	2	new1d▲183	Fresh1/10d	Pair Twin: KIM · Pair Correlation: 0.87 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Real Estate▼ headwind	—
GBCI▲ LONG Glacier Bancorp	◆ P1	partial	0.370	—	2	new1d▲254	Fresh1/10d	Pair Twin: UBSI · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: -2.78 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Financials▲ tailwind	—
PAG▲ LONG Penske Automotive Group	◆ P1	partial	0.355	—	2	new1d▲323	Fresh1/10d	Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: -2.24 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
XEL Xcel Energy	◆ P1	partial	0.351	—	2	exited32d· 0	Stale22/10d	Pair Twin: CMS · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -2.06 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Utilities▼ headwind	—
PKG▲ LONG Packaging Corporation of America	◆ P1	partial	0.316	—	2	persisting5d▲313	Building3/10d	Pair Twin: SW · Pair Correlation: 0.75 · Pair Spread Z: -2.17 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Materials▲ tailwind	—
NVR▲ LONG NVR, Inc.	◆ P1	partial	0.159	—	2	persisting7d▲496	Building5/10d	Pair Twin: PHM · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: -2.21 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
MPWR Monolithic Power Systems	◆ P1	primed	0.989	48mediumfull	1	exited36d	Stale26/10d	Pair Twin: ALGM · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -5.16 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Technology▲ tailwind	—
COHR Coherent Corp.	◆ P1	primed	0.922	62mediumhalf	1	exited34d▼378	Stale24/10d	Pair Twin: GLW · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: -3.45 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Technology▲ tailwind	—
BX Blackstone Inc.	◆ P1	partial	0.846	—	1	exited32d▲2	Stale22/10d	Pair Twin: KKR · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.90 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Financials▲ tailwind	—
ONTO Onto Innovation	◆ P1	partial	0.778	—	1	exited29d▼32	Stale21/10d	Pair Twin: AMAT · Pair Correlation: 0.77 · Pair Spread Z: -2.76 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Technology▲ tailwind	—
AEIS Advanced Energy	◆ P1	partial	0.743	—	1	exited29d▲20	Stale21/10d	Pair Twin: MKSI · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: -2.72 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Technology▲ tailwind	—
GLW Corning Inc.	◆ P1	partial	0.722	—	1	exited34d▲24	Stale24/10d	Pair Twin: COHR · Pair Correlation: 0.70 · Pair Spread Z: 2.61 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Technology▲ tailwind	—
INTU▲ LONG Intuit	◆ P1	partial	0.679	—	1	persisting6d	Building4/10d	Pair Twin: WDAY · Pair Correlation: 0.73 · Pair Spread Z: -2.68 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Technology▲ tailwind	—
CBSH Commerce Bancshares	◆ P1	partial	0.516	—	1	exited29d▼158	Stale21/10d	Pair Twin: UBSI · Pair Correlation: 0.82 · Pair Spread Z: 2.03 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Financials▲ tailwind	—
ALL Allstate	◆ P1	partial	0.496	—	1	exited29d	Stale21/10d	Pair Twin: PGR · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.32 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Financials▲ tailwind	—
ED Consolidated Edison	◆ P1	primed	0.496	47mediumfull	1	exited32d▲3	Stale22/10d	Pair Twin: AEE · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: 4.86 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Utilities▼ headwind	—
PGR Progressive Corporation	◆ P1	partial	0.492	—	1	exited29d	Stale21/10d	Pair Twin: ALL · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: -2.32 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Financials▲ tailwind	—
LAD Lithia Motors	◆ P1	partial	0.386	—	1	decayed15d▲1	Stale11/10d	Pair Twin: AN · Pair Correlation: 0.71 · Pair Spread Z: 2.03 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
AN▼ SHORT AutoNation	◆ P1	partial	0.353	41mediumuncal.	1	persisting6d▲1	Confirmed4/10d	Pair Twin: PAG · Pair Correlation: 0.76 · Pair Spread Z: 2.24 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
KIM▼ SHORT Kimco Realty	◆ P1	partial	0.353	—	1	new1d▲1	Fresh1/10d	Pair Twin: BRX · Pair Correlation: 0.87 · Pair Spread Z: 2.32 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Real Estate▼ headwind	—
DTE DTE Energy	◆ P1	partial	0.309	—	1	exited36d	Stale26/10d	Pair Twin: CMS · Pair Correlation: 0.86 · Pair Spread Z: -2.15 · Pair Direction: long_recovery	Utilities▼ headwind	—
DHR▼ SHORT Danaher Corporation	◆ P1	partial	0.155	58mediumuncal.	1	persisting5d▼4	Confirmed3/10d	Pair Twin: TMO · Pair Correlation: 0.74 · Pair Spread Z: 3.00 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Health Care▼ headwind	—
SHW▼ SHORT Sherwin-Williams	◆ P1	partial	0.153	50mediumuncal.	1	persisting6d	Confirmed4/10d	Pair Twin: RPM · Pair Correlation: 0.79 · Pair Spread Z: 2.06 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Materials▲ tailwind	—

Screener runs twice each trading day (10:30 and 17:30 ET). Candidates decay after their per-archetype relevance window. Sort and archetype filters update via URL params (SSR re-fetch).