Screener

Single-name candidates ranked by confluence · as of 2026-07-27

Regime:TRANSITIONAL

The screener reads the full S&P 900 universe, runs every name through each dislocation archetype, and shows every name that fired an archetype today (the full candidate log).How the screener works →

Company Action Boardas of 17:32 ET

open book mean-0.1% vs SPYsnapshot, not live — refreshes twice daily

RegimeCalm regime — balanced board

Changeslocked 2026-07-24: RBA (S)exited 2026-07-24: BKH (horizon)

Longs (3)

DTMNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

high

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-06day 15/20stop < 139.27

144.23 → 140.40-1.1% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-06 (morning)
·entry 144.23 @ 2026-07-06
·invalidates: close < 139.27

day 15/20

FSLRNO-BETPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-20day 4/20stop < 193.38

209.75 → 205.83-0.7% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-20 (evening)
·entry 209.75 @ 2026-07-21
·invalidates: close < 193.38

day 4/20

IEXNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-13day 9/20stop < 216.75

224.00 → 223.83+1.8% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-13 (evening)
·entry 224.00 @ 2026-07-14
·invalidates: close < 216.75

day 9/20

Shorts (2)

IFFNO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-21day 3/5stop > 80.28

76.97 → 76.40-0.2% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-21 (evening)
·entry 76.97 @ 2026-07-22
·invalidates: close > 80.28

day 3/5

RBANO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-24day 0/5stop > 116.43

112.54 → —

·locked 2026-07-24 (evening)
·entry 112.54 @ 2026-07-27
·invalidates: close > 116.43

day 0/5

Competing for open slots (5)· open: 0L / 0S · locks at the next screener run

BXhighNO-BETPLDhighNO-BETUNPhighNO-BETLVShighNO-BETVLYmediumNO-BET

Board-pick snapshot: longs 68% (n=44) · shorts 49% (n=43) (n=87)

1-2 week swing, not day-trading · calm-conditional · graded, not advice ·what the badges mean

What Company Action Board — the pick-contract position book: picks lock on a ripe + slot win and hold to horizon or invalidation, immune to day-to-day trigger flicker.

So-what Use as a watchlist filter, not a sizing directive. The countdown chip is the hold clock; the stop chip is the mechanical invalidation; competing names lock only when a slot frees.

Board Record — contracts heldWARMING

7 closed / needs 10 to show a rate

Contract-graded record — each pick held to its ACTUAL exit (horizon / price-invalidation / adverse-regime), market-adjusted vs SPY. The strictest board lens: a live, growing ledger over a calm regime — not a forecast, not a proven track record. The credibility label is a display state; it licenses no sizing.

Closed record — held to exit

Hit rate71%

Mean excess+0.2%vs SPY

n=7

Held to horizonn=5

100% hit+2.2%

Price stopn=2

0% hit-4.7%

Contract-graded record — each locked pick graded as a held position to its exit · graded, not advice

View:Best 30 winners All candidates

Candidates

200

126 names / 200 signals

Universe

903

S&P 900 members (500+400)

Archetypes

A2, A3, A4…

As of

2026-07-27

screener trade date

Today:

43 new116 persisting41 other

Fresh flags vs. carried-over candidates.

Sector Dislocation— which sectors are throwing the most candidates

Energy35 · avg 1.8

Consumer Discretionary33 · avg 2.1

Industrials31 · avg 1.7

Financials30 · avg 1.9

Materials19 · avg 1.9

Technology17 · avg 1.8

Health Care15 · avg 1.7

Communication Services7 · avg 1.7

Utilities6 · avg 1.8

Real Estate4 · avg 1.8

Consumer Staples3 · avg 2

Hedge shortlistnot active · macro lowcontext / triage — not a directive

not active — macro drawdown read is low (score 42.7); the hedge shortlist lights up only when the macro drawdown read is elevated (['elevated', 'high'])

Tab:Primed Board Track Record

Archetype calibration

per-horizon · market-adjusted

Forward-grading (locked 2026-06-23). This is a young, single-episode substrate — the apparent in-sample edge is mostly sector beta, not yet stock-selection skill. Rates read at one horizon per pill (never blended across horizons), excess over SPY, intent-aware. First out-of-sample checkpoint ~2026-07-21. Calibrated rows are solid; still-accruing rows are dimmed.How this is graded →

135765 predictions accruing · first maturations ~Jul 6 · hit-rates unlock at 30 matured per archetype.

1N5Revision Collapseshort60.0% @5d-0.05% meann=15calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	62.5%	-0.42%	16	14–56%
3d	75.0%	-0.35%	16	4–36%
5d	60.0%	-0.05%	15	15–58%
10d	23.1%	3.87%	13	50–92%
20d	25.0%	2.95%	4	15–85%
30d	50.0%	2.48%	2	0–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed60.0%n=15partial—n=0

Confluence:

133.3%n=3275.0%n=83+50.0%n=4

Score band:

lo70.0%n=10mid33.3%n=3hi50.0%n=2

2A2Oversold Sympathylong51.8% @5d0.32% meann=461calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	49.3%	-0.02%	456	47–56%
3d	52.9%	-0.08%	456	44–54%
5d	51.8%	0.32%	461	42–51%
10d	50.0%	0.19%	406	44–54%
20d	48.3%	-1.16%	261	46–59%
30d	48.6%	-0.81%	144	39–55%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed51.8%n=461partial—n=0

Confluence:

153.7%n=231248.6%n=1853+55.6%n=45

Score band:

lo51.9%n=158mid55.9%n=186hi45.3%n=117

3N3Failed Breakoutshort44.1% @5d0.54% meann=833calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	53.8%	-0.12%	832	47–53%
3d	50.7%	0.14%	832	47–54%
5d	44.1%	0.54%	833	48–55%
10d	46.3%	0.24%	678	50–57%
20d	47.1%	0.59%	408	53–63%
30d	52.7%	-0.69%	129	50–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed44.1%n=833partial—n=0

Confluence:

142.9%n=734252.2%n=923+57.1%n=7

Score band:

lo45.0%n=491mid44.7%n=190hi40.1%n=152

4P1Pair Divergencelong47.1% @5d0.33% meann=34calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.0%	-0.14%	45	25–52%
3d	46.7%	0.20%	45	29–57%
5d	47.1%	0.33%	34	37–69%
10d	55.6%	0.54%	18	29–71%
20d	57.1%	0.55%	7	25–84%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed47.1%n=34partial—n=0

Confluence:

146.2%n=26257.1%n=73+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi47.1%n=34

5A8PEAD Beat Driftlong48.1% @5d-0.22% meann=27calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	48.1%	-0.22%	27	28–63%
10d	30.8%	-3.19%	13	29–77%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed48.1%n=27partial—n=0

Confluence:

152.4%n=21240.0%n=53+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo33.3%n=6mid54.5%n=11hi50.0%n=10

6A5Mechanical Reversionlong42.6% @5d-0.38% meann=359calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	31.5%	-1.26%	270	38–50%
3d	25.6%	-1.98%	270	32–43%
5d	42.6%	-0.38%	359	44–54%
10d	39.1%	-0.85%	358	44–54%
20d	41.7%	-1.78%	357	47–57%
30d	44.9%	-1.00%	356	42–52%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed42.6%n=359partial—n=0

Confluence:

139.8%n=133240.5%n=1903+63.9%n=36

Score band:

lo—n=0mid51.9%n=27hi41.9%n=332

7N1Distribution Topshort36.9% @5d1.05% meann=236calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.3%	0.29%	243	41–53%
3d	35.8%	0.63%	243	45–57%
5d	36.9%	1.05%	236	45–58%
10d	41.5%	1.01%	193	41–55%
20d	39.5%	0.41%	119	37–54%
30d	27.7%	3.52%	65	26–49%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed36.9%n=236partial—n=0

Confluence:

135.9%n=206246.2%n=263+25.0%n=4

Score band:

lo36.1%n=97mid37.8%n=82hi36.8%n=57

·N2Overextended Blowoffshortaccruing (22/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	0.0%	0.82%	4	5–70%
3d	75.0%	-1.86%	4	15–85%
5d	80.0%	-1.56%	5	38–96%
10d	60.0%	-0.19%	5	23–88%
20d	33.3%	0.43%	3	21–94%
30d	0.0%	0.43%	1	21–100%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed80.0%n=5partial—n=0

Confluence:

1100.0%n=3250.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo50.0%n=2mid—n=0hi100.0%n=3

·N4Structural-Derate Continuationshortaccruing (20/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
3d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
5d	0.0%	4.89%	4	0–49%
10d	25.0%	1.44%	4	5–70%
20d	33.3%	7.81%	3	6–79%
30d	33.3%	4.75%	3	6–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=4partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=220.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=4

·N6PEAD Miss Driftshortaccruing (2/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	0.0%	7.79%	1	0–79%
10d	0.0%	5.11%	1	0–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=1partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=12—n=03+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=1

·A3Positioning Extremelongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 22accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 45075 predictions recorded, 18238 pending.

·A4Pre-Catalyst Coilinglongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 6accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 9807 predictions recorded, 3592 pending.

Excess = return minus SPY over the same window; hit = excess > 0 for long archetypes, < 0 for short. An empty bucket shows "—", not 0%.

Showing the most recent board from 2026-07-27

The screener runs twice each trading day — 10:30 and 17:30 ET. This board updates automatically after the next run completes.

What changed todayNew (91):AAL,ABBV,ADM,AEE,AEP,AIZ,AM,AMKR,APA,AR+81 moreDropped (63):AA,AAON,ALGM,ALLY,APH,AVAV,AVGO,AXP,BEN,BLK+53 more

Ticker	Archetypes	State	Score	Conviction	Confluence	Movement	Ripeness	Dislocation	Sector	Realized Return
TSCO▼ SHORT Tractor Supply	▼ N4 ▼ N6 ▼ N5	primed	0.726	64mediumuncal.	3	persisting34d▲10	Loaded2/10d	Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.14 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -29.1% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 71 >= 60 (elevated)	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
KMI▲ LONG Kinder Morgan	▲ A3 ▲ A8 ▲ A2	primed	0.614	65highuncal.	3	persisting4d▲14	Loaded2/10d	Short Pct Float: 2.34 · Days To Cover: 6.00 · Ret 20d: -0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.27	Energy▲ tailwind	—
LVS▼ SHORT Las Vegas Sands	▼ N4 ▼ N6 ▼ N5	primed	0.434	68highuncal.	3	persisting27d▼1	Loaded2/10d	Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta 0.06 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -13.9% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 24 < 60 (calm)	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
VICR▲ LONG Vicor Corporation	▲ A2 ▲ A8	primed	0.922	45mediumuncal.	2	persisting35d▼1	Loaded4/10d	Eps Surprise: 0.63 · Days Since Earnings: 6.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
CHRW▲ LONG C.H. Robinson	▲ A2 ▲ A3	partial	0.630	50mediumuncal.	2	persisting55d▲4	Confirmed2/5d	1-day return: -6.68% · 1-day return: -6.68% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): 0.30%	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
VNOM▲ LONG Viper Energy	▲ A2 ▲ A3	partial	0.601	63mediumuncal.	2	new4d▲400	Confirmed2/15d	1-day return: -4.74% · 1-day return: -4.74% · Beta (60d): -0.47 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
INTC▲ LONG Intel	▲ A2 ▲ A8	primed	0.946	37mediumuncal.	2	persisting4d▲10	Loaded2/10d	Eps Surprise: 0.91 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Technology▲ tailwind	—
SIGI▲ LONG Selective Insurance Group	▲ A8 ▲ A2	primed	0.546	65mediumuncal.	2	persisting4d▲118	Loaded2/10d	Eps Surprise: 0.17 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Financials▲ tailwind	—
WRB▲ LONG W. R. Berkley Corporation	▲ A3 ▲ A8	primed	0.527	68highuncal.	2	persisting55d▲1	Loaded4/10d	Short Pct Float: 7.25 · Days To Cover: 9.64 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.20	Financials▲ tailwind	—
HOG▲ LONG Harley-Davidson	▲ A3 ▲ A8	primed	0.524	64mediumuncal.	2	persisting55d▼16	Loaded2/10d	Short Pct Float: 16.44 · Days To Cover: 8.49 · Ret 20d: -0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.45	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
DOW▲ LONG Dow Inc.	▲ A8 ▲ A2	primed	0.520	63highuncal.	2	persisting4d▲11	Loaded2/10d	Eps Surprise: 0.13 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Materials▲ tailwind	—
RLI▲ LONG RLI Corp.	▲ A3 ▲ A8	primed	0.496	68highuncal.	2	persisting55d▲1	Loaded2/10d	Short Pct Float: 9.37 · Days To Cover: 9.19 · Ret 20d: 0.11 · Dist 52w Low: 0.40	Financials▲ tailwind	—
BX▲ LONG Blackstone Inc.	▲ A3 ▲ A8 ◆ P1	primed	0.846	82highuncal.	2	persisting32d▲2	Loaded2/10d	Pair Twin: KKR · Pair Correlation: 0.84 · Pair Spread Z: 2.90 · Pair Direction: short_fragility	Financials▲ tailwind	—
GGG▲ LONG Graco Inc.	▲ A3 ▲ A8	primed	0.430	70highuncal.	2	persisting5d▲3	Loaded3/10d	Short Pct Float: 3.99 · Days To Cover: 5.54 · Ret 20d: 0.06 · Dist 52w Low: 0.10	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
ADM▲ LONG Archer Daniels Midland	▲ A3 ▲ A2 ▼ N1	primed	0.386	58mediumuncal.	2	persisting4d▲156	Confirmed2/15d	Short Pct Float: 3.51 · Days To Cover: 5.58 · Ret 20d: 0.08 · Dist 52w Low: 0.59	Consumer Staples▼ headwind	—
RF▲ LONG Regions Financial Corporation	▲ A3 ▲ A8 ▼ N1	primed	0.353	63mediumuncal.	2	persisting55d▲2	Confirmed4/10d	Short Pct Float: 6.57 · Days To Cover: 6.37 · Ret 20d: 0.02 · Dist 52w Low: 0.36	Financials▲ tailwind	—
NSC▲ LONG Norfolk Southern	▲ A3 ▲ A8 ▼ N3	primed	0.295	71highuncal.	2	persisting55d▲5	Confirmed2/10d	Short Pct Float: 3.69 · Days To Cover: 9.88 · Ret 20d: 0.09 · Dist 52w Low: 0.28	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
UNP▲ LONG Union Pacific Corporation	▼ N3 ▲ A3 ▲ A8	primed	0.271	73highuncal.	2	persisting55d▲3	Confirmed2/10d	Breakout Level: 52w_high · Dist 52w High: -0.01 · Sma Dist 20: 0.05 · Recent Push: Yes	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
RVTY▲ LONG Revvity	▲ A4 ▼ N3	primed	0.180	67highuncal.	2	persisting4d▲342	Loaded2/10d	Realized Vol Pct 1y: 4.78 · Inside Day: No · Nr7: Yes · Days To Catalyst: —	Health Care▼ headwind	—
ASH▲ LONG Ashland Global	▲ A3 ▲ A4 ▼ N1	primed	0.177	59mediumuncal.	2	persisting6d▲3	Loaded3/20d	Short Pct Float: 13.87 · Days To Cover: 9.72 · Ret 20d: 0.04 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43	Materials▲ tailwind	—
LYV▲ LONG Live Nation Entertainment	▲ A3 ▲ A4 ▼ N1	primed	0.177	59mediumuncal.	2	persisting55d▼22	Confirmed7/20d	Short Pct Float: 16.11 · Days To Cover: 12.36 · Ret 20d: -0.00 · Dist 52w Low: 0.43	Communication Services▲ tailwind	—
YETI▲ LONG Yeti Holdings	▲ A3 ▲ A4	partial	0.177	67highuncal.	2	persisting55d▲118	Confirmed4/20d	Short Pct Float: 10.90 · Days To Cover: 9.97 · Ret 20d: -0.01 · Dist 52w Low: 0.60	Consumer Discretionary▲ tailwind	—
AAL▲ LONG American Airlines Group	▲ A8 ▼ N5	primed	0.952	41mediumuncal.	1	persisting4d▲13	Loaded2/10d	Eps Surprise: 2.00 · Days Since Earnings: 4.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
GOOG▲ LONG Alphabet Inc. (Class C)	▲ A8	primed	0.952	69highuncal.	1	persisting5d▼61	Loaded3/10d	Eps Surprise: 2.13 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Communication Services▲ tailwind	—
GOOGL▲ LONG Alphabet Inc. (Class A)	▲ A8	primed	0.952	52mediumuncal.	1	persisting5d▲12	Loaded3/10d	Eps Surprise: 2.14 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Communication Services▲ tailwind	—
ILMN▼ SHORT Illumina, Inc.	▼ N3	primed	0.941	32mediumdegraded	1	persisting6d▲46	Loaded4/10d	Breakout Level: sma20 · Dist 52w High: -0.04 · Sma Dist 20: 0.00 · Recent Push: Yes	Health Care▼ headwind	—
SNDK▲ LONG Sandisk	▲ A2	primed	0.938	53mediumuncal.	1	persisting4d▲44	Loaded2/5d	1-day return: -11.68% · 1-day return: -11.68% · Beta (60d): 4.49 · Sector return (1d): -0.90%	Technology▲ tailwind	—
TRV▲ LONG The Travelers Companies	▼ N2 ▲ A8	primed	0.934	57mediumuncal.	1	persisting6d▼68	Loaded4/10d	Rsi 14: 81.67 · Sma Dist 20: 0.11 · Sma Dist 50: 0.21 · Stretch: 0.21	Financials▲ tailwind	—
ZION▲ LONG Zions Bancorporation	▲ A8	primed	0.910	69highuncal.	1	persisting6d▲9	Loaded4/10d	Eps Surprise: 0.59 · Days Since Earnings: 7.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Financials▲ tailwind	—
FR▲ LONG First Industrial Realty Trust	▲ A8	primed	0.872	70highuncal.	1	persisting4d▲8	Loaded2/10d	Eps Surprise: 0.35 · Days Since Earnings: 5.00 · Recency Max: 10.00 · Primed Floor: 0.10	Real Estate▼ headwind	—
ZTS▼ SHORT Zoetis	▼ N4	partial	0.855	48mediumuncal.	1	persisting19d▲4	Confirmed13/20d	Regime Tag: structural_derate · Fragile: No · Gate Abstained: No · Fragility Reasons: beta -0.01 < 1.30 (not high-beta),sma_dist_200 -30.3% (downtrend),fundamentals:unavailable,realized_vol_pct_1y 56 < 60 (calm)	Health Care▼ headwind	—

Screener runs twice each trading day (10:30 and 17:30 ET). Candidates decay after their per-archetype relevance window. Sort and archetype filters update via URL params (SSR re-fetch).