Screener

Single-name candidates ranked by confluence · as of 2026-07-27

Regime:TRANSITIONAL

The screener reads the full S&P 900 universe, runs every name through each dislocation archetype, and surfaces the best 30 winners by conviction (primed legs → confluence → score). Every name clearing the bar is still tracked behind the scenes for its data + signals.How the screener works →

Company Action Boardas of 17:32 ET

open book mean-0.1% vs SPYsnapshot, not live — refreshes twice daily

RegimeCalm regime — balanced board

Changeslocked 2026-07-24: RBA (S)exited 2026-07-24: BKH (horizon)

Longs (3)

DTMNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

high

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-06day 15/20stop < 139.27

144.23 → 140.40-1.1% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-06 (morning)
·entry 144.23 @ 2026-07-06
·invalidates: close < 139.27

day 15/20

FSLRNO-BETPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-20day 4/20stop < 193.38

209.75 → 205.83-0.7% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-20 (evening)
·entry 209.75 @ 2026-07-21
·invalidates: close < 193.38

day 4/20

IEXNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-13day 9/20stop < 216.75

224.00 → 223.83+1.8% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-13 (evening)
·entry 224.00 @ 2026-07-14
·invalidates: close < 216.75

day 9/20

Shorts (2)

IFFNO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-21day 3/5stop > 80.28

76.97 → 76.40-0.2% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-21 (evening)
·entry 76.97 @ 2026-07-22
·invalidates: close > 80.28

day 3/5

RBANO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-24day 0/5stop > 116.43

112.54 → —

·locked 2026-07-24 (evening)
·entry 112.54 @ 2026-07-27
·invalidates: close > 116.43

day 0/5

Competing for open slots (5)· open: 0L / 0S · locks at the next screener run

BXhighNO-BETPLDhighNO-BETUNPhighNO-BETLVShighNO-BETVLYmediumNO-BET

Board-pick snapshot: longs 68% (n=44) · shorts 49% (n=43) (n=87)

1-2 week swing, not day-trading · calm-conditional · graded, not advice ·what the badges mean

What Company Action Board — the pick-contract position book: picks lock on a ripe + slot win and hold to horizon or invalidation, immune to day-to-day trigger flicker.

So-what Use as a watchlist filter, not a sizing directive. The countdown chip is the hold clock; the stop chip is the mechanical invalidation; competing names lock only when a slot frees.

Board Record — contracts heldWARMING

7 closed / needs 10 to show a rate

Contract-graded record — each pick held to its ACTUAL exit (horizon / price-invalidation / adverse-regime), market-adjusted vs SPY. The strictest board lens: a live, growing ledger over a calm regime — not a forecast, not a proven track record. The credibility label is a display state; it licenses no sizing.

Closed record — held to exit

Hit rate71%

Mean excess+0.2%vs SPY

n=7

Held to horizonn=5

100% hit+2.2%

Price stopn=2

0% hit-4.7%

Contract-graded record — each locked pick graded as a held position to its exit · graded, not advice

View:Best 30 winners All candidates

Winners

filtered: oversold_sympathy

Universe

903

S&P 900 members (500+400)

Archetypes

As of

2026-07-27

screener trade date

Today:

13 new7 persisting

Fresh flags vs. carried-over candidates.

Sector Dislocation— which sectors are throwing the most candidates

Energy7 · avg 2

Industrials4 · avg 1.3

Technology3 · avg 1

Materials2 · avg 1.5

Financials1 · avg 2

Real Estate1 · avg 1

Consumer Staples1 · avg 2

Communication Services1 · avg 1

Hedge shortlistnot active · macro lowcontext / triage — not a directive

not active — macro drawdown read is low (score 42.7); the hedge shortlist lights up only when the macro drawdown read is elevated (['elevated', 'high'])

Tab:Primed Board Track Record

Archetype:All A2 · Oversold Sympathy

Direction:All ▲ Long ▼ Short ◆ Neutral

Ripeness:All stages ✓ Ripe only (5)

Sort:Conviction Confluence Score Days Ticker

Archetype calibration

per-horizon · market-adjusted

Forward-grading (locked 2026-06-23). This is a young, single-episode substrate — the apparent in-sample edge is mostly sector beta, not yet stock-selection skill. Rates read at one horizon per pill (never blended across horizons), excess over SPY, intent-aware. First out-of-sample checkpoint ~2026-07-21. Calibrated rows are solid; still-accruing rows are dimmed.How this is graded →

135765 predictions accruing · first maturations ~Jul 6 · hit-rates unlock at 30 matured per archetype.

1N5Revision Collapseshort60.0% @5d-0.05% meann=15calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	62.5%	-0.42%	16	14–56%
3d	75.0%	-0.35%	16	4–36%
5d	60.0%	-0.05%	15	15–58%
10d	23.1%	3.87%	13	50–92%
20d	25.0%	2.95%	4	15–85%
30d	50.0%	2.48%	2	0–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed60.0%n=15partial—n=0

Confluence:

133.3%n=3275.0%n=83+50.0%n=4

Score band:

lo70.0%n=10mid33.3%n=3hi50.0%n=2

2A2Oversold Sympathylong51.8% @5d0.32% meann=461calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	49.3%	-0.02%	456	47–56%
3d	52.9%	-0.08%	456	44–54%
5d	51.8%	0.32%	461	42–51%
10d	50.0%	0.19%	406	44–54%
20d	48.3%	-1.16%	261	46–59%
30d	48.6%	-0.81%	144	39–55%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed51.8%n=461partial—n=0

Confluence:

153.7%n=231248.6%n=1853+55.6%n=45

Score band:

lo51.9%n=158mid55.9%n=186hi45.3%n=117

3N3Failed Breakoutshort44.1% @5d0.54% meann=833calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	53.8%	-0.12%	832	47–53%
3d	50.7%	0.14%	832	47–54%
5d	44.1%	0.54%	833	48–55%
10d	46.3%	0.24%	678	50–57%
20d	47.1%	0.59%	408	53–63%
30d	52.7%	-0.69%	129	50–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed44.1%n=833partial—n=0

Confluence:

142.9%n=734252.2%n=923+57.1%n=7

Score band:

lo45.0%n=491mid44.7%n=190hi40.1%n=152

4P1Pair Divergencelong47.1% @5d0.33% meann=34calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.0%	-0.14%	45	25–52%
3d	46.7%	0.20%	45	29–57%
5d	47.1%	0.33%	34	37–69%
10d	55.6%	0.54%	18	29–71%
20d	57.1%	0.55%	7	25–84%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed47.1%n=34partial—n=0

Confluence:

146.2%n=26257.1%n=73+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi47.1%n=34

5A8PEAD Beat Driftlong48.1% @5d-0.22% meann=27calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	48.1%	-0.22%	27	28–63%
10d	30.8%	-3.19%	13	29–77%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed48.1%n=27partial—n=0

Confluence:

152.4%n=21240.0%n=53+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo33.3%n=6mid54.5%n=11hi50.0%n=10

6A5Mechanical Reversionlong42.6% @5d-0.38% meann=359calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	31.5%	-1.26%	270	38–50%
3d	25.6%	-1.98%	270	32–43%
5d	42.6%	-0.38%	359	44–54%
10d	39.1%	-0.85%	358	44–54%
20d	41.7%	-1.78%	357	47–57%
30d	44.9%	-1.00%	356	42–52%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed42.6%n=359partial—n=0

Confluence:

139.8%n=133240.5%n=1903+63.9%n=36

Score band:

lo—n=0mid51.9%n=27hi41.9%n=332

7N1Distribution Topshort36.9% @5d1.05% meann=236calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.3%	0.29%	243	41–53%
3d	35.8%	0.63%	243	45–57%
5d	36.9%	1.05%	236	45–58%
10d	41.5%	1.01%	193	41–55%
20d	39.5%	0.41%	119	37–54%
30d	27.7%	3.52%	65	26–49%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed36.9%n=236partial—n=0

Confluence:

135.9%n=206246.2%n=263+25.0%n=4

Score band:

lo36.1%n=97mid37.8%n=82hi36.8%n=57

·N2Overextended Blowoffshortaccruing (22/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	0.0%	0.82%	4	5–70%
3d	75.0%	-1.86%	4	15–85%
5d	80.0%	-1.56%	5	38–96%
10d	60.0%	-0.19%	5	23–88%
20d	33.3%	0.43%	3	21–94%
30d	0.0%	0.43%	1	21–100%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed80.0%n=5partial—n=0

Confluence:

1100.0%n=3250.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo50.0%n=2mid—n=0hi100.0%n=3

·N4Structural-Derate Continuationshortaccruing (20/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
3d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
5d	0.0%	4.89%	4	0–49%
10d	25.0%	1.44%	4	5–70%
20d	33.3%	7.81%	3	6–79%
30d	33.3%	4.75%	3	6–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=4partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=220.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=4

·N6PEAD Miss Driftshortaccruing (2/30)~Jul 28accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	0.0%	7.79%	1	0–79%
10d	0.0%	5.11%	1	0–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=1partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=12—n=03+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=1

·A3Positioning Extremelongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 22accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 45075 predictions recorded, 18238 pending.

·A4Pre-Catalyst Coilinglongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 6accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 9807 predictions recorded, 3592 pending.

Excess = return minus SPY over the same window; hit = excess > 0 for long archetypes, < 0 for short. An empty bucket shows "—", not 0%.

Showing the most recent board from 2026-07-27

The screener runs twice each trading day — 10:30 and 17:30 ET. This board updates automatically after the next run completes.

What changed todayNew (91):AAL,ABBV,ADM,AEE,AEP,AIZ,AM,AMKR,APA,AR+81 moreDropped (63):AA,AAON,ALGM,ALLY,APH,AVAV,AVGO,AXP,BEN,BLK+53 more

Ticker	Archetypes	State	Score	Conviction	Confluence	Movement	Ripeness	Dislocation	Sector	Realized Return
CF▲ LONG CF Industries	▲ A2	primed	0.651	78highuncal.	1	new1d▲413	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -4.32% · 1-day return: -4.32% · Beta (60d): -0.81 · Sector return (1d): 0.25%	Materials▲ tailwind	—
OVV▲ LONG Ovintiv	▲ A2	partial	0.623	73highuncal.	2	new1d▲339	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -4.95% · 1-day return: -4.95% · Beta (60d): -0.71 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
CRS▲ LONG Carpenter Technology	▲ A2	primed	0.700	68highuncal.	1	new1d	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.96% · 1-day return: -3.96% · Beta (60d): 1.46 · Sector return (1d): 0.30%	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
EOG▲ LONG EOG Resources	▲ A2	partial	0.621	67highuncal.	2	new1d▲240	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -4.24% · 1-day return: -4.24% · Beta (60d): -1.02 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
KMI▲ LONG Kinder Morgan	▲ A2	partial	0.614	65highuncal.	3	new1d▲14	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.44% · 1-day return: -3.44% · Beta (60d): -0.55 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
SIGI▲ LONG Selective Insurance Group	▲ A2	partial	0.546	65mediumuncal.	2	new1d▲118	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.75% · 1-day return: -3.75% · Beta (60d): -0.58 · Sector return (1d): 1.01%	Financials▲ tailwind	—
MUR▲ LONG Murphy Oil	▲ A2	partial	0.634	64mediumuncal.	2	new1d▲325	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.79% · 1-day return: -3.79% · Beta (60d): -1.51 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
EQIX▲ LONG Equinix	▲ A2	primed	0.482	62mediumuncal.	1	new1d	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.52% · 1-day return: -3.52% · Beta (60d): 0.28 · Sector return (1d): -0.41%	Real Estate▼ headwind	—
GEV▲ LONG GE Vernova	▲ A2	partial	0.792	62mediumuncal.	1	persisting6d▲2	Late4/5d	1-day return: -5.98% · 1-day return: -5.98% · Beta (60d): 2.03 · Sector return (1d): -0.41%	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
OKE▲ LONG Oneok	▲ A2	partial	0.607	61mediumuncal.	2	new1d▲334	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -4.05% · 1-day return: -4.05% · Beta (60d): -0.92 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
AVNT▲ LONG Avient	▲ A2	primed	0.553	60mediumuncal.	2	new1d	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.13% · 1-day return: -3.13% · Beta (60d): 1.25 · Sector return (1d): 0.25%	Materials▲ tailwind	—
APA▲ LONG APA Corporation	▲ A2	partial	0.623	58mediumuncal.	2	new1d▲38	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.98% · 1-day return: -3.98% · Beta (60d): -1.17 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
ADM▲ LONG Archer Daniels Midland	▲ A2	partial	0.386	58mediumuncal.	2	new1d▲156	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -3.23% · 1-day return: -3.23% · Beta (60d): -0.03 · Sector return (1d): 1.45%	Consumer Staples▼ headwind	—
STRL▲ LONG Sterling Infrastructure	▲ A2	primed	0.818	57mediumuncal.	1	persisting4d▼18	Loaded2/5d	1-day return: -4.06% · 1-day return: -4.06% · Beta (60d): 4.63 · Sector return (1d): 0.30%	Industrials▲ tailwind	—
SITM▲ LONG SiTime	▲ A2	primed	0.363	53mediumuncal.	1	persisting4d▲319	Loaded2/5d	1-day return: -5.90% · 1-day return: -5.90% · Beta (60d): 3.28 · Sector return (1d): -0.90%	Technology▲ tailwind	—
SNDK▲ LONG Sandisk	▲ A2	primed	0.938	53mediumuncal.	1	persisting4d▲44	Loaded2/5d	1-day return: -11.68% · 1-day return: -11.68% · Beta (60d): 4.49 · Sector return (1d): -0.90%	Technology▲ tailwind	—
AR▲ LONG Antero Resources	▲ A2	partial	0.849	52mediumuncal.	1	new1d▲429	Fresh1/5d	1-day return: -4.14% · 1-day return: -4.14% · Beta (60d): -0.77 · Sector return (1d): -2.14%	Energy▲ tailwind	—
LITE▲ LONG Lumentum	▲ A2	primed	0.753	52mediumuncal.	1	persisting4d▲4	Loaded2/5d	1-day return: -6.92% · 1-day return: -6.92% · Beta (60d): 2.39 · Sector return (1d): -0.90%	Technology▲ tailwind	—
SPCX▲ LONG Space Exploration Technologies Corp.	▲ A2	partial	0.304	51mediumuncal.	1	persisting18d▲7	Stale12/5d	1-day return: -4.99% · 1-day return: -4.99% · Beta (60d): — · Sector return (1d): 1.57%	Communication Services▲ tailwind	—
CHRW▲ LONG C.H. Robinson	▲ A2	partial	0.630	50mediumuncal.	2	persisting4d▲4	Confirmed2/5d	1-day return: -6.68% · 1-day return: -6.68% · Beta (60d): 0.58 · Sector return (1d): 0.30%	Industrials▲ tailwind	—

Screener runs twice each trading day (10:30 and 17:30 ET). Candidates decay after their per-archetype relevance window. Sort and archetype filters update via URL params (SSR re-fetch).