Screener

Single-name candidates ranked by confluence · as of 2026-07-28

Regime:TRANSITIONAL

The screener reads the full S&P 900 universe, runs every name through each dislocation archetype, and surfaces the best 30 winners by conviction (primed legs → confluence → score). Every name clearing the bar is still tracked behind the scenes for its data + signals.How the screener works →

Company Action Boardas of 17:32 ET

open book mean-1.4% vs SPYsnapshot, not live — refreshes twice daily

RegimeCalm regime — balanced board

Changeslocked 2026-07-28: BX (L), VLY (S)exited 2026-07-28: DTM (stop), RBA (stop)

Longs (3)

BXNO-BETPEAD Beat Drift

high

PEAD Beat Drift · hold 10das of lock 2026-07-28day 0/10entry pending

·locked 2026-07-28 (evening)
·entry pending next bar

day 0/10

FSLRNO-BETPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-20day 5/20stop < 193.38

209.75 → 202.59-2.5% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-20 (evening)
·entry 209.75 @ 2026-07-21
·invalidates: close < 193.38

day 5/20

IEXNO-BET⚠ FLIPPre-Catalyst Coiling

medium

Pre-Catalyst Coiling · hold 20das of lock 2026-07-13day 10/20stop < 216.75

224.00 → 224.65+1.9% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-13 (evening)
·entry 224.00 @ 2026-07-14
·invalidates: close < 216.75

day 10/20

Shorts (2)

IFFNO-BET⚠ FLIPFailed Breakout

high

Failed Breakout · hold 5das of lock 2026-07-21day 4/5stop > 80.28

76.97 → 79.25-3.6% vs SPY

·locked 2026-07-21 (evening)
·entry 76.97 @ 2026-07-22
·invalidates: close > 80.28

day 4/5

VLYNO-BET⚠ FLIPPEAD Miss Drift

medium

PEAD Miss Drift · hold 10das of lock 2026-07-28day 0/10entry pending

·locked 2026-07-28 (evening)
·entry pending next bar

day 0/10

Competing for open slots (3)· open: 0L / 0S · locks at the next screener run

UPShighNO-BETPLDhighNO-BETTSCOmediumNO-BET

Board-pick snapshot: longs 70% (n=46) · shorts 45% (n=47) (n=93)

1-2 week swing, not day-trading · calm-conditional · graded, not advice ·what the badges mean

What Company Action Board — the pick-contract position book: picks lock on a ripe + slot win and hold to horizon or invalidation, immune to day-to-day trigger flicker.

So-what Use as a watchlist filter, not a sizing directive. The countdown chip is the hold clock; the stop chip is the mechanical invalidation; competing names lock only when a slot frees.

Board Record — contracts heldWARMING

9 closed / needs 10 to show a rate

Contract-graded record — each pick held to its ACTUAL exit (horizon / price-invalidation / adverse-regime), market-adjusted vs SPY. The strictest board lens: a live, growing ledger over a calm regime — not a forecast, not a proven track record. The credibility label is a display state; it licenses no sizing.

Closed record — held to exit

Hit rate56%

Mean excess-0.5%vs SPY

n=9

Held to horizonn=5

100% hit+2.2%

Price stopn=4

0% hit-3.9%

Contract-graded record — each locked pick graded as a held position to its exit · graded, not advice

View:Best 30 winners All candidates

Winners

filtered: overextended_blowoff

Universe

903

S&P 900 members (500+400)

Archetypes

As of

2026-07-28

screener trade date

Today:

1 new0 persisting

Fresh flags vs. carried-over candidates.

Sector Dislocation— which sectors are throwing the most candidates

Health Care1 · avg 1

Hedge shortlistnot active · macro lowcontext / triage — not a directive

not active — macro drawdown read is low (score 38.3); the hedge shortlist lights up only when the macro drawdown read is elevated (['elevated', 'high'])

Tab:Primed Board Track Record

Archetype:All N2 · Overextended Blowoff

Direction:All ▲ Long ▼ Short ◆ Neutral

Ripeness:All stages ✓ Ripe only

Sort:Conviction Confluence Score Days Ticker

Archetype calibration

per-horizon · market-adjusted

Forward-grading (locked 2026-06-23). This is a young, single-episode substrate — the apparent in-sample edge is mostly sector beta, not yet stock-selection skill. Rates read at one horizon per pill (never blended across horizons), excess over SPY, intent-aware. First out-of-sample checkpoint ~2026-07-21. Calibrated rows are solid; still-accruing rows are dimmed.How this is graded →

140367 predictions accruing · first maturations ~Jul 6 · hit-rates unlock at 30 matured per archetype.

1A2Oversold Sympathylong53.0% @5d0.54% meann=483calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	48.6%	-0.07%	467	47–56%
3d	52.9%	-0.08%	456	44–54%
5d	53.0%	0.54%	483	42–51%
10d	50.0%	0.19%	406	44–54%
20d	51.2%	-0.61%	283	46–58%
30d	48.6%	-0.81%	144	39–55%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed53.0%n=483partial—n=0

Confluence:

154.8%n=248250.0%n=1903+55.6%n=45

Score band:

lo52.7%n=165mid56.7%n=194hi47.6%n=124

2N5Revision Collapseshort60.0% @5d-0.05% meann=15calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	52.6%	0.03%	19	19–59%
3d	75.0%	-0.35%	16	4–36%
5d	60.0%	-0.05%	15	15–58%
10d	23.1%	3.87%	13	50–92%
20d	16.7%	3.15%	6	30–90%
30d	50.0%	2.48%	2	0–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed60.0%n=15partial—n=0

Confluence:

133.3%n=3275.0%n=83+50.0%n=4

Score band:

lo70.0%n=10mid33.3%n=3hi50.0%n=2

3N3Failed Breakoutshort44.5% @5d0.46% meann=853calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	53.1%	-0.11%	863	47–54%
3d	50.7%	0.14%	832	47–54%
5d	44.5%	0.46%	853	48–54%
10d	46.3%	0.24%	678	50–57%
20d	43.6%	1.03%	454	54–63%
30d	52.7%	-0.69%	129	50–66%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed44.5%n=853partial—n=0

Confluence:

143.4%n=753252.7%n=933+57.1%n=7

Score band:

lo45.7%n=503mid44.6%n=195hi40.6%n=155

4A8PEAD Beat Driftlong54.8% @5d0.38% meann=31calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	54.8%	0.38%	31	29–62%
10d	30.8%	-3.19%	13	29–77%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed54.8%n=31partial—n=0

Confluence:

154.5%n=22262.5%n=83+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo42.9%n=7mid58.3%n=12hi58.3%n=12

5P1Pair Divergencelong48.7% @5d0.40% meann=39calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	40.0%	-0.14%	45	25–52%
3d	46.7%	0.20%	45	29–57%
5d	48.7%	0.40%	39	39–68%
10d	55.6%	0.54%	18	29–71%
20d	55.6%	-0.82%	9	27–81%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed48.7%n=39partial—n=0

Confluence:

146.4%n=28260.0%n=103+0.0%n=1

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi48.7%n=39

6A5Mechanical Reversionlong42.6% @5d-0.38% meann=359calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	31.5%	-1.26%	270	38–50%
3d	25.6%	-1.98%	270	32–43%
5d	42.6%	-0.38%	359	44–54%
10d	39.1%	-0.85%	358	44–54%
20d	41.7%	-1.78%	357	47–57%
30d	44.9%	-1.00%	356	42–52%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed42.6%n=359partial—n=0

Confluence:

139.8%n=133240.5%n=1903+63.9%n=36

Score band:

lo—n=0mid51.9%n=27hi41.9%n=332

7N1Distribution Topshort34.6% @5d1.25% meann=260calibrated›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	39.8%	0.32%	251	41–53%
3d	35.8%	0.63%	243	45–57%
5d	34.6%	1.25%	260	43–55%
10d	41.5%	1.01%	193	41–55%
20d	36.0%	0.80%	139	39–55%
30d	27.7%	3.52%	65	26–49%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed34.6%n=260partial—n=0

Confluence:

133.6%n=229244.4%n=273+25.0%n=4

Score band:

lo35.0%n=100mid35.6%n=87hi32.9%n=73

·N2Overextended Blowoffshortaccruing (23/30)~Jul 29accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	0.0%	0.82%	4	5–70%
3d	75.0%	-1.86%	4	15–85%
5d	80.0%	-1.56%	5	38–96%
10d	60.0%	-0.19%	5	23–88%
20d	50.0%	-2.95%	4	30–95%
30d	0.0%	0.43%	1	21–100%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed80.0%n=5partial—n=0

Confluence:

1100.0%n=3250.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo50.0%n=2mid—n=0hi100.0%n=3

·N4Structural-Derate Continuationshortaccruing (20/30)~Jul 29accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
1d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
3d	33.3%	1.12%	3	6–79%
5d	0.0%	4.89%	4	0–49%
10d	25.0%	1.44%	4	5–70%
20d	33.3%	7.81%	3	6–79%
30d	33.3%	4.75%	3	6–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed0.0%n=4partial—n=0

Confluence:

10.0%n=220.0%n=23+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi0.0%n=4

·N6PEAD Miss Driftshortaccruing (3/30)~Jul 29accruing›

Horizon	Excess hit	Mean excess	n	95% CI
5d	50.0%	-0.85%	2	10–91%
10d	0.0%	5.11%	1	0–79%

Experimental — confidence dials (not validated, watched forward) ›

The screener's own dials vs excess hit-rate, at the 5d horizon. Reported factually for forward grading — no edge is asserted.

Engine state:

primed50.0%n=2partial—n=0

Confluence:

150.0%n=22—n=03+—n=0

Score band:

lo—n=0mid—n=0hi50.0%n=2

·A3Positioning Extremelongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 22accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 47623 predictions recorded, 19931 pending.

·A4Pre-Catalyst Coilinglongaccruing (0/30)~Jul 6accruing›

No matured horizons yet — 10038 predictions recorded, 3686 pending.

Excess = return minus SPY over the same window; hit = excess > 0 for long archetypes, < 0 for short. An empty bucket shows "—", not 0%.

Showing the most recent board from 2026-07-28

The screener runs twice each trading day — 10:30 and 17:30 ET. This board updates automatically after the next run completes.

What changed todayNew (83):ACI,AHR,ANET,APG,ARW,ATI,BDC,BEN,BKR,BLK+73 moreDropped (67):ABBV,AIZ,AM,APTV,AR,ATO,AVB,AVNT,BBY,BG+57 more

Ticker	Archetypes	State	Score	Conviction	Confluence	Movement	Ripeness	Dislocation	Sector	Realized Return

Screener runs twice each trading day (10:30 and 17:30 ET). Candidates decay after their per-archetype relevance window. Sort and archetype filters update via URL params (SSR re-fetch).