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2026-W15

Finance Analyst Report: 2026-04-07 09:32:02

Executive Summary

  • Market Sentiment: Bullish (Score: 0.21)
  • Volatility Regime: Contango (Normal) ◆
  • Credit Signal: Risk ON
  • Breadth: Moderately Bearish (32.4% ▼ >50d, 48.4% ▼ >200d)
  • Net Liquidity: N/A (N/A ◆)
  • Dark Pool DIX: 0.454 ▼ (Strong Dark Pool Buying)
  • MOVE Index: 82 | VIX/MOVE: 0.31 ▼ (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
  • Credit: HY OAS 3.13% (Watchful) | 2s10s: 0.50% (Normal (Steepening))
  • Global Liquidity: N/A ◆ | BTC: $68,456 ▼ (Neutral)
  • Seasonality (April): Avg +1.97% ▼, Hit Rate 80% (Historically Bullish)

Equity & Derivatives Board

Ticker Price RSI(14) IVR ZGL GEX Sent PCR
SPY $656.52 ▲ 44.29 34.5 $659.04 Neutral 1.19
QQQ $585.75 ▲ 43.92 36.6 $588.53 Neutral 1.09
IWM $251.59 ▲ 53.68 46.2 $251.54 Bearish 1.85

Macro Board

Ticker Price RSI(14) IVR ZGL GEX Sent PCR
VIX 25.39 ▲ 51.38 68.3 $11.00 Bullish 0.68
TNX 43.35 ▲ 58.67 65.3 - - -
GLD $427.60 ▼ 37.57 55.6 $403.81 Neutral 0.88
DXY 99.93 ▲ 53.23 ▲ 46.7 ▼ - - -
SLV $65.21 ▼ 38.06 29.4 $53.04 Neutral 0.78

Macro Fundamentals

  • 10Y Yield: 4.33% ▲
  • Yield Curve (10Y-3M): 0.71 ▲ (Normal)
  • DXY: 99.93 ▲
  • Growth vs Value: 0.89 ▲
  • Risk Appetite (XLY/XLP): 1.31 ▼ (Defensive)

Volatility Structure

  • MOVE Index (Bond Vol): 81.68
  • VIX/MOVE Ratio: 0.31 ▼ (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
  • 0DTE Call Volume: 13,919 ▲
  • 0DTE Put Volume: 18,904 ▲
  • 0DTE Put/Call Ratio: 1.36 ▲ (Heavy 0DTE Put Buying (Hedging) ◆)

Credit Conditions

  • HY OAS Spread: 3.13% (Watchful)
  • BBB Spread: 1.09%
  • 2s10s Spread: 0.50% (Normal (Steepening))

Market Breadth (S&P 500)

  • Stocks Above 50-Day SMA: 32.4% ▼ (of 478)
  • Stocks Above 200-Day SMA: 48.4% ▼
  • Breadth Signal: Moderately Bearish

Fed & Global Liquidity

  • Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): $6675.3B
  • Treasury General Account (TGA): $847.7B
  • Reverse Repo (RRP): $N/AB
  • US Net Liquidity (WALCL - TGA - RRP): N/A
  • Liquidity Regime: N/A ◆
  • ECB Balance Sheet: ~$6,655B (USD approx)
  • BOJ Balance Sheet: ~$4,558B (USD approx)
  • Global Net Liquidity (Fed+ECB+BOJ): N/A ◆
  • BTC-USD: $68,456 ▼ (Neutral)

Dark Pool Activity

  • DIX (Dark Index): 0.454 ▼
  • GEX (Gamma Exposure): 2.91B ▲
  • Signal: Strong Dark Pool Buying

Seasonality (April)

  • 20yr Average Return: +1.97% ▼
  • 20yr Median Return: +1.27% ▼
  • Win Rate (% Years Positive): 80%
  • Signal: Historically Bullish

EPS Revisions (Watchlist)

  • AAPL: $1.96 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • MSFT: $4.09 (+0.0% vs 30d)
  • NVDA: $1.78 (-0.2% vs 30d)
  • GOOGL: $2.60 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • AMZN: $1.65 (+0.2% vs 30d)
  • META: $6.61 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • TSLA: $0.39 (-1.8% vs 30d)
  • WMT: $0.66 (-0.1% vs 30d)
  • JPM: $5.43 (-1.2% vs 30d)
  • GS: $16.07 (+2.4% vs 30d)

Upcoming Major Earnings

  • GS: 2026-04-13
  • JPM: 2026-04-14
  • TSLA: 2026-04-22
  • GOOGL: 2026-04-23
  • MSFT: 2026-04-29
  • META: 2026-04-29
  • AAPL: 2026-04-30
  • AMZN: 2026-04-30
  • NVDA: 2026-05-20
  • WMT: 2026-05-21

Economic Releases (FRED)

Today's Key Economic Prints:

  • No key economic prints today.

Upcoming Economic Calendar (Next 30 Days):

  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 2026-04-09
  • Industrial Production: 2026-04-16
  • Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 2026-04-30

FX News Wire

No new articles found since last report.