Finance Analyst Report: 2026-04-06 11:00:46
Executive Summary
- Market Sentiment: Bullish (Score: 0.21)
- Volatility Regime: Contango (Normal)
- Credit Signal: Risk ON
- Breadth: Moderately Bearish (30.9% >50d, 49.1% >200d)
- Net Liquidity: N/A (N/A ◆)
- Dark Pool DIX: 0.503 (Strong Dark Pool Buying)
- MOVE Index: 84 | VIX/MOVE: 0.29 ▲ (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
- Credit: HY OAS 3.13% ▼ (Watchful) | 2s10s: 0.51% (Normal (Steepening))
- Global Liquidity: N/A ◆ | BTC: $69,602 ▲ (Neutral)
- Seasonality (April): Avg +1.97%, Hit Rate 80% (Historically Bullish)
Equity & Derivatives Board
| Ticker | Price | RSI(14) | IVR | ZGL | GEX Sent | PCR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | $657.64 ▲ | 46.49 | 27.9 | $655.61 | Neutral | 0.89 |
| QQQ | $587.28 ▲ | 45.67 | 29.6 | $583.72 | Bullish | 0.60 |
| IWM | $251.69 ▲ | 54.90 | 35.6 | $249.71 | Neutral | 1.01 |
Macro Board
| Ticker | Price | RSI(14) | IVR | ZGL | GEX Sent | PCR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIX | 24.17 ▼ | 43.91 | 47.8 | $11.00 | Neutral | 0.74 |
| TNX | 43.29 ▼ | 51.98 | 47.9 | - | - | - |
| GLD | $429.99 ▼ | 37.96 | 55.8 | $408.52 | Bullish | 0.53 |
| DXY | 99.87 ▲ | 51.44 ▲ | 48.3 ▼ | - | - | - |
| SLV | $65.84 ▼ | 38.53 | 29.4 | $63.37 | Bullish | 0.59 |
Macro Fundamentals
- 10Y Yield: 4.33% ▼
- Yield Curve (10Y-3M): 0.72 (Normal)
- DXY: 99.87 ▲
- Growth vs Value: 0.89 ▼
- Risk Appetite (XLY/XLP): 1.32 ▼ (Defensive)
Volatility Structure
- MOVE Index (Bond Vol): 84.41
- VIX/MOVE Ratio: 0.29 ▲ (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
- 0DTE Call Volume: 990,411 ▲
- 0DTE Put Volume: 1,158,379 ▲
- 0DTE Put/Call Ratio: 1.17 ▲ (Balanced 0DTE Flow)
Credit Conditions
- HY OAS Spread: 3.13% ▼ (Watchful)
- BBB Spread: 1.09%
- 2s10s Spread: 0.51% (Normal (Steepening))
Market Breadth (S&P 500)
- Stocks Above 50-Day SMA: 30.9% (of 463)
- Stocks Above 200-Day SMA: 49.1%
- Breadth Signal: Moderately Bearish
Fed & Global Liquidity
- Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): $6675.3B
- Treasury General Account (TGA): $N/AB
- Reverse Repo (RRP): $N/AB
- US Net Liquidity (WALCL - TGA - RRP): N/A
- Liquidity Regime: N/A ◆
- ECB Balance Sheet: ~$6,655B (USD approx)
- BOJ Balance Sheet: ~$4,558B (USD approx)
- Global Net Liquidity (Fed+ECB+BOJ): N/A ◆
- BTC-USD: $69,602 ▲ (Neutral)
Dark Pool Activity
- DIX (Dark Index): 0.503
- GEX (Gamma Exposure): 2.75B
- Signal: Strong Dark Pool Buying
Seasonality (April)
- 20yr Average Return: +1.97%
- 20yr Median Return: +1.30%
- Win Rate (% Years Positive): 80%
- Signal: Historically Bullish
EPS Revisions (Watchlist)
- AAPL: $1.96 (+0.1% vs 30d)
- MSFT: $4.09 (+0.0% vs 30d)
- NVDA: $1.78 (-0.2% vs 30d)
- GOOGL: $2.60 (+0.1% vs 30d)
- AMZN: $1.65 (+0.2% vs 30d)
- META: $6.61 (+0.1% vs 30d)
- TSLA: $0.39 (-1.8% vs 30d)
- WMT: $0.66 (-0.1% vs 30d)
- JPM: $5.43 (-1.2% vs 30d)
- GS: $16.07 (+2.4% vs 30d)
Upcoming Major Earnings
- GS: 2026-04-13
- JPM: 2026-04-14
- TSLA: 2026-04-22
- GOOGL: 2026-04-23
- MSFT: 2026-04-29
- META: 2026-04-29
- AAPL: 2026-04-30
- AMZN: 2026-04-30
- NVDA: 2026-05-20
- WMT: 2026-05-21
Economic Releases (FRED)
Today's Key Economic Prints:
- Advance Retail Sales: Retail Trade: 638224.0 (Period: 2026-02-01)
- Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items in U.S. City Average: 327.460 (Period: 2026-02-01)
- Employment Cost Index: Wages and Salaries: Private Industry Workers: 176.233 (Period: 2025-10-01)
- Industrial Production: Total Index: 102.551 (Period: 2026-02-01)
- Commercial Bank Interest Rate on Credit Card Plans, All Accounts: 20.97 (Period: 2025-11-01)
Upcoming Economic Calendar (Next 30 Days):
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 2026-04-09
- Consumer Price Index (CPI): 2026-04-10
- Producer Price Index (PPI): 2026-04-14
- Industrial Production: 2026-04-16
- Retail Sales: 2026-04-21
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 2026-04-30
FX News Wire
Unread articles (9):
[1] Gold consolidates gains as US-Iran ceasefire talks weigh on the US Dollar URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-edges-higher-as-us-iran-ceasefire-talks-lift-market-sentiment-202604061201 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:47:11 Z
[2] USD/JPY eases as US-Iran ceasefire talks weigh on US Dollar, ISM PMI softens URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-jpy-eases-as-us-iran-ceasefire-talks-weigh-on-us-dollar-ism-pmi-softens-202604061442 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:42:26 Z
[3] BYND stock is just above its all-time low URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/bynd-stock-is-just-above-its-all-time-low-202604061417 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:17:14 Z
[4] CAD: Jobs data and geopolitics steer rates – TD Securities URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/cad-jobs-data-and-geopolitics-steer-rates-td-securities-202604061408 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:08:26 Z
[5] Breaking: US ISM Services PMI came in at 54 in March, below forecasts URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/when-is-the-us-ism-services-pmi-data-for-march-and-how-could-it-affect-eur-usd-202604061129 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:03:42 Z
[6] United States ISM Services Prices Paid: 70.7 (March) vs 63 URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/united-states-ism-services-prices-paid-707-march-vs-63-202604061400 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00:02 Z
[7] United States ISM Services PMI below forecasts (55) in March: Actual (54) URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/united-states-ism-services-pmi-below-forecasts-55-in-march-actual-54-202604061400 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00:02 Z
[8] United States ISM Services New Orders Index rose from previous 58.6 to 60.6 in March URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/united-states-ism-services-new-orders-index-rose-from-previous-586-to-606-in-march-202604061400 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00:02 Z
[9] United States ISM Services Employment Index: 45.2 (March) vs previous 51.8 URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/united-states-ism-services-employment-index-452-march-vs-previous-518-202604061400 Published: Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00:01 Z