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2026-W14

Finance Analyst Report: 2026-04-02 16:02:06

Executive Summary

  • Market Sentiment: Bullish (Score: 0.25)
  • Volatility Regime: Contango (Normal)
  • Credit Signal: Risk ON
  • Breadth: Moderately Bearish (30.1% ▲ >50d, 49.1% ▼ >200d)
  • Net Liquidity: N/A (N/A)
  • Dark Pool DIX: 0.487 (Strong Dark Pool Buying)
  • MOVE Index: 90 | VIX/MOVE: 0.28 ▼ (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
  • Credit: HY OAS 0.00% ▼ (N/A ◆) | 2s10s: 0.52% (Normal (Steepening))
  • Global Liquidity: N/A | BTC: $67,025 ▼ (Neutral)
  • Seasonality (April): Avg +1.96% ▲, Hit Rate 80% (Historically Bullish)

Equity & Derivatives Board

Ticker Price RSI(14) IVR ZGL GEX Sent PCR
SPY $655.93 ▲ 44.32 28.4 $655.60 Neutral 1.16
QQQ $584.98 ▲ 43.76 31.1 $584.56 Bearish 1.34
IWM $251.13 ▲ 52.28 36.0 $217.50 Neutral 0.92

Macro Board

Ticker Price RSI(14) IVR ZGL GEX Sent PCR
VIX 24.12 ▼ 44.84 49.7 $11.00 Bullish 0.65
TNX 43.13 53.23 47.8 - - -
GLD $429.49 ▲ 38.66 55.4 $406.79 Bullish 0.47
DXY 100.03 ▲ 47.29 ▲ 45.6 ▲ - - -
SLV $65.82 ▲ 36.77 28.9 $65.42 Neutral 0.93

Macro Fundamentals

  • 10Y Yield: 4.31%
  • Yield Curve (10Y-3M): 0.71 (Normal)
  • DXY: 100.03 ▲
  • Growth vs Value: 0.89 ▲
  • Risk Appetite (XLY/XLP): 1.32 ▼ (Defensive)

Volatility Structure

  • MOVE Index (Bond Vol): 90.19
  • VIX/MOVE Ratio: 0.28 ▼ (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
  • 0DTE Call Volume: 3,332,102 ▲
  • 0DTE Put Volume: 5,110,273 ▲
  • 0DTE Put/Call Ratio: 1.53 ▼ (Heavy 0DTE Put Buying (Hedging))

Credit Conditions

  • HY OAS Spread: 0.00% ▼ (N/A ◆)
  • BBB Spread: 0.00%
  • 2s10s Spread: 0.52% (Normal (Steepening))

Market Breadth (S&P 500)

  • Stocks Above 50-Day SMA: 30.1% ▲ (of 502)
  • Stocks Above 200-Day SMA: 49.1% ▼
  • Breadth Signal: Moderately Bearish

Fed & Global Liquidity

  • Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): $N/AB
  • Treasury General Account (TGA): $N/AB
  • Reverse Repo (RRP): $N/AB
  • US Net Liquidity (WALCL - TGA - RRP): N/A
  • Liquidity Regime: N/A
  • ECB Balance Sheet: ~$0B (USD approx)
  • BOJ Balance Sheet: ~$4,558B ▲ (USD approx)
  • Global Net Liquidity (Fed+ECB+BOJ): N/A
  • BTC-USD: $67,025 ▼ (Neutral)

Dark Pool Activity

  • DIX (Dark Index): 0.487
  • GEX (Gamma Exposure): 2.66B
  • Signal: Strong Dark Pool Buying

Seasonality (April)

  • 20yr Average Return: +1.96% ▲
  • 20yr Median Return: +1.27%
  • Win Rate (% Years Positive): 80%
  • Signal: Historically Bullish

EPS Revisions (Watchlist)

  • AAPL: $1.96 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • MSFT: $4.09 (+0.0% vs 30d)
  • NVDA: $1.78 (-0.2% vs 30d)
  • GOOGL: $2.60 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • AMZN: $1.65 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • META: $6.61 (+0.1% vs 30d)
  • TSLA: $0.40 (-2.2% vs 30d)
  • WMT: $0.66 (-0.1% vs 30d)
  • JPM: $5.42 (-1.5% vs 30d)
  • GS: $16.11 (+2.7% vs 30d)

Upcoming Major Earnings

  • GS: 2026-04-13
  • JPM: 2026-04-14
  • TSLA: 2026-04-22
  • GOOGL: 2026-04-23
  • MSFT: 2026-04-29
  • META: 2026-04-29
  • AAPL: 2026-04-30
  • AMZN: 2026-04-30
  • NVDA: 2026-05-20
  • WMT: 2026-05-21

Economic Releases (FRED)

Today's Key Economic Prints:

  • No key economic prints today.

Upcoming Economic Calendar (Next 30 Days):

  • No major economic releases scheduled for next 30 days.

FX News Wire

No new articles found since last report.