Finance Analyst Report: 2026-04-01 02:00:15

Executive Summary

Market Sentiment: Neutral (Score: -0.07)
Volatility Regime: Contango (Normal)
Credit Signal: Risk ON
Breadth: Moderately Bearish (24.3% >50d, 48.9% >200d)
Net Liquidity: N/A (N/A ◆)
Dark Pool DIX: 0.446 (Moderate Dark Pool Buying)
MOVE Index: 96 | VIX/MOVE: 0.26 (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
Credit: HY OAS 3.46% (Watchful) | 2s10s: 0.51% (Normal (Steepening))
Global Liquidity: N/A ◆ | BTC: $68,411 ▲ (Neutral)
Seasonality (April): Avg +2.02%, Hit Rate 79% (Historically Bullish)

Equity & Derivatives Board

Ticker	Price	RSI(14)	IVR	ZGL	GEX Sent	PCR
SPY	$652.24	22.80	19.9	$640.90	Bearish	1.21
QQQ	$580.19	21.95	22.5	$563.28	Bullish	0.38
IWM	$248.72	34.05	27.7	$205.00	Neutral	1.19

Macro Board

Ticker	Price	RSI(14)	IVR	ZGL	GEX Sent	PCR
VIX	25.25	61.66	44.3	$10.00	Bearish	1.34
TNX	43.11	62.72	50.5	-	-	-
GLD	$431.17	22.70	54.2	$406.70	Bullish	0.50
DXY	99.85	54.70	48.8	-	-	-
SLV	$67.87	22.84	29.5	$61.84	Bullish	0.67

Macro Fundamentals

10Y Yield: 4.31%
Yield Curve (10Y-3M): 0.71 (Normal)
DXY: 99.85
Growth vs Value: 0.89
Risk Appetite (XLY/XLP): 1.33 (Defensive)

Volatility Structure

MOVE Index (Bond Vol): 96.05
VIX/MOVE Ratio: 0.26 (Equity Vol Elevated vs Rates)
0DTE Call Volume: 708,279
0DTE Put Volume: 881,777
0DTE Put/Call Ratio: 1.24 (Balanced 0DTE Flow)

Credit Conditions

HY OAS Spread: 3.46% (Watchful)
BBB Spread: 1.16%
2s10s Spread: 0.51% (Normal (Steepening))

Market Breadth (S&P 500)

Stocks Above 50-Day SMA: 24.3% (of 502)
Stocks Above 200-Day SMA: 48.9%
Breadth Signal: Moderately Bearish

Fed & Global Liquidity

Fed Balance Sheet (WALCL): $6657.2B
Treasury General Account (TGA): $874.1B
Reverse Repo (RRP): $N/AB
US Net Liquidity (WALCL - TGA - RRP): N/A
Liquidity Regime: N/A ◆
ECB Balance Sheet: ~$6,648B (USD approx)
BOJ Balance Sheet: ~$4,558B (USD approx)
Global Net Liquidity (Fed+ECB+BOJ): N/A ◆
BTC-USD: $68,411 ▲ (Neutral)

Dark Pool Activity

DIX (Dark Index): 0.446
GEX (Gamma Exposure): 2.33B
Signal: Moderate Dark Pool Buying

Seasonality (April)

20yr Average Return: +2.02%
20yr Median Return: +1.55%
Win Rate (% Years Positive): 79%
Signal: Historically Bullish

EPS Revisions (Watchlist)

AAPL: $1.96 (+0.1% vs 30d)
MSFT: $4.09 (+0.0% vs 30d)
NVDA: $1.78 (+5.6% vs 30d)
GOOGL: $2.60 (+0.1% vs 30d)
AMZN: $1.65 (+0.1% vs 30d)
META: $6.61 (+0.1% vs 30d)
TSLA: $0.40 (-2.2% vs 30d)
WMT: $0.66 (-0.1% vs 30d)
JPM: $5.41 (-1.5% vs 30d)
GS: $15.93 (+1.5% vs 30d)

Upcoming Major Earnings

GS: 2026-04-13
JPM: 2026-04-14
TSLA: 2026-04-21
GOOGL: 2026-04-23
MSFT: 2026-04-29
META: 2026-04-29
AAPL: 2026-04-30
AMZN: 2026-04-30
NVDA: 2026-05-20
WMT: 2026-05-21

Economic Releases (FRED)

Today's Key Economic Prints:

No key economic prints today.

Upcoming Economic Calendar (Next 30 Days):

Employment Situation (Payrolls): 2026-04-03
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 2026-04-09
Consumer Price Index (CPI): 2026-04-10
Producer Price Index (PPI): 2026-04-14
Industrial Production: 2026-04-16
Retail Sales: 2026-04-21
Gross Domestic Product (GDP): 2026-04-30

FX News Wire

Unread articles (21):

[1] Australia RBA Commodity Index SDR (YoY) rose from previous 3.4% to 12.8% in March URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/australia-rba-commodity-index-sdr-yoy-rose-from-previous-34-to-128-in-march-202604010532 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:32:12 Z

[2] USD/INR tumbles at open as Middle East war de-escalates URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/usd-inr-tumbles-at-open-as-middle-east-war-de-escalates-202604010526 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:26:19 Z

[3] Gold retreats from two-week top as Fed rate hike bets support USD URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-advances-to-nearly-two-week-high-as-usd-slips-on-hopes-that-iran-war-could-end-soon-202604010357 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:17:08 Z

[4] Saudi Arabia Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/saudi-arabia-gold-price-today-gold-rises-according-to-fxstreet-data-202604010505 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:05:32 Z

[5] Philippines Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/philippines-gold-price-today-gold-rises-according-to-fxstreet-data-202604010504 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:04:23 Z

[6] Netherlands, The Nevi Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 50.8 to 52 in March URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/netherlands-the-nevi-manufacturing-pmi-climbed-from-previous-508-to-52-in-march-202604010500 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 05:00:57 Z

[7] EUR/USD Price Forecast: Trades above mid-1.1500s as bulls await move beyond 61.8% Fibo. URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-price-forecast-traders-above-mid-11500s-as-bulls-await-move-beyond-618-fibo-202604010455 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:55:34 Z

[8] United Arab Emirates Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/united-arab-emirates-gold-price-today-gold-rises-according-to-fxstreet-data-202604010455 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:55:20 Z

[9] Indonesia Core Inflation (YoY) below forecasts (2.63%) in March: Actual (2.52%) URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/indonesia-core-inflation-yoy-below-forecasts-263-in-march-actual-252-202604010450 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:50:58 Z

[10] Pakistan Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/pakistan-gold-price-today-gold-rises-according-to-fxstreet-data-202604010450 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:50:41 Z

[11] India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/india-gold-price-today-gold-rises-according-to-fxstreet-data-202604010450 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:50:00 Z

[12] Malaysia Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/malaysia-gold-price-today-gold-rises-according-to-fxstreet-data-202604010449 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:49:14 Z

[13] EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Remains above 183.50 to test nine-day EMA barrier URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-jpy-price-forecast-remains-above-18350-to-test-nine-day-ema-barrier-202604010449 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:49:02 Z

[14] Indonesia Inflation (MoM) below forecasts (0.46%) in March: Actual (0.41%) URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/indonesia-inflation-mom-below-forecasts-046-in-march-actual-041-202604010438 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:38:20 Z

[15] Elliott Wave outlook: Meta concludes correction phase, signals upside [Video] URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/elliott-wave-outlook-meta-concludes-correction-phase-signals-upside-video-202604010432 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:32:14 Z

[16] US Dollar Index remains below 100.00 as Trump's remarks improve risk appetite URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-dollar-index-remains-below-10000-as-trumps-remarks-improve-risk-appetite-202604010420 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:20:00 Z

[17] Indonesia Trade Balance below expectations ($1.55B) in February: Actual ($1.28B) URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/indonesia-trade-balance-below-expectations-155b-in-february-actual-128b-202604010419 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:19:36 Z

[18] Indonesia Imports below expectations (11.2%) in February: Actual (10.85%) URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/indonesia-imports-below-expectations-112-in-february-actual-1085-202604010419 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:19:35 Z

[19] NZD/USD retreats from weekly top, slides to 0.5730 as Fed rate hike bets support USD URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/nzd-usd-retreats-from-weekly-top-slides-to-05730-as-fed-rate-hike-bets-support-usd-202604010409 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:09:20 Z

[20] Indonesia Exports came in at 1.01%, below expectations (3.2%) in February URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/indonesia-exports-came-in-at-101-below-expectations-32-in-february-202604010408 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:08:39 Z

[21] UAE is willing to join US for force Hormuz reopen – WSJ URL: https://www.fxstreet.com/news/uae-is-willing-to-join-us-for-force-hormuz-reopen-wsj-202604010406 Published: Wed, 01 Apr 2026 04:06:44 Z