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Total public debt outstanding ($tn)

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Auto-generated. This article is rebuilt from app/signals/config/signal_definitions.json by scripts/build_signals_kb.py. Edit the registry entry and re-run the script — do not edit this file directly.

Total public debt outstanding ($tn)

What it is

Total public debt outstanding ($tn) — registry key debt_total_usd_tn.

Total public debt outstanding, in trillions - the daily debt-stock cross-check every monthly aggregate is measured against. long-end supply-stress carrier, Phase 3A of improvements/long-end-stress.md; scoring deferred to a pre-registered study.

Data-pyramid tier

T0 — Raw input. This metric sits at the raw input layer of the platform’s six-tier data pyramid (T0 raw inputs → T5 actionable read). The tier reflects how far the value is from a raw measurement — not how strongly it is validated. Abstraction and validation are separate axes: a higher tier is not a claim of stronger evidence.

Horizon & validation

No validated skill horizon is on file for this metric — read it as context / a data carrier, not a validated edge. Stamps are added only when a gated research verdict lands.

Source

Source module: treasury_fiscal
Data source: back_fillable

Fetched directly from app/sources/treasury_fiscal.py; see source code for the upstream API call and any provider-specific handling.

How it’s computed

Latest fd_debt_total_usd_tn from macro_series: Debt to the Penny tot_pub_debt_out_amt / 1e12. See app/sources/treasury_fiscal.py:parse_debt_to_penny.

Where it surfaces

Health-score / alignment role

Data carrier — no implication, no health-score contribution.

Persisted for downstream consumers (sparklines, base-rate matcher, calibration substrate) but does not classify into BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH and does not contribute to the 0-100 health score.

Release cadence

US Treasury Debt to the Penny, daily (business days, T+1).

See also