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Air-pocket fragility score

What it is

Air-pocket fragility score — registry key air_pocket_score.

Event-aware air-pocket fragility flag (2026-06-05 autopsy forward improvement). Deterministic STATE descriptor — NOT scored, NOT a predictor; no classification bands, no health-score contribution.

Data-pyramid tier

T3 — Lens. This metric sits at the lens layer of the platform’s six-tier data pyramid (T0 raw inputs → T5 actionable read). The tier reflects how far the value is from a raw measurement — not how strongly it is validated. Abstraction and validation are separate axes: a higher tier is not a claim of stronger evidence.

Horizon & validation

No validated skill horizon is on file for this metric — read it as context / a data carrier, not a validated edge. Stamps are added only when a gated research verdict lands.

Source

Source module: capture
Data source: computed

Derived metric — produced inside the platform (app/signals/capture.py or equivalent) rather than fetched as a raw upstream value. See the How it's computed section below for the formula.

How it’s computed

Number of air-pocket triggers currently firing (0–4): dealer_gamma_bearish (spy_gex_sent == ‘Bearish’ OR gex < 0) + near_put_wall (spy_dist_to_put_pct <= 1.0%, i.e. price within 1% above the gamma put wall or at/through it) + rate_sensitivity_stretched (corr_spy_tnx <= -0.5) + catalyst_imminent (a high-importance macro catalyst — FOMC/CPI/PPI/NFP — within the next trading session per the calendar_events lookahead). See app/signals/air_pocket.py:evaluate_air_pocket.

Where it surfaces

• API field: positioning.air_pocket.score on GET /api/v1/signals/latest
• Surface: daily_signals row (daily-cadence persistence)
• Surface: /signals/history time series
• Surface: /signals/sparklines (UI sparklines)

Health-score / alignment role

Data carrier — no implication, no health-score contribution.

Persisted for downstream consumers (sparklines, base-rate matcher, calibration substrate) but does not classify into BULLISH / NEUTRAL / BEARISH and does not contribute to the 0-100 health score.

Release cadence

• Publishes: intraday

See also

• /kb/api/get-signals-latest — API endpoint that serves this field.