KB / signal
AAII Bull-Bear Spread
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AAII Bull-Bear Spread
What it is
AAII Bull-Bear Spread — registry key aaii_spread.
Sentiment extremes are contrarian setup signals. Used by squeeze_setup composite + transitions.
Source
Source module: aaii
Data source: back_fillable
Fetched directly from app/sources/aaii.py; see source code for the upstream API call and any provider-specific handling.
How it’s computed
AAII Bull − Bear sentiment spread, in percentage points: aaii_bull_pct − aaii_bear_pct. Contrarian: extreme positive (>+20) = retail euphoria; extreme negative (<−20) = retail despair.
Where it surfaces
- API field:
positioning.aaii.bull_bear_spreadonGET /api/v1/signals/latest - Surface:
daily_signalsrow (daily-cadence persistence) - Surface:
/signals/sparklines(UI sparklines)
Bands / thresholds
Classifier direction: range_is_better.
| Range | Label | Dot | Implication | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10 – 20 | Normal | favorable | NEUTRAL | — |
| -20 – -10 | Bearish | leaning | NEUTRAL | — |
| 20 – 30 | Bullish | leaning | NEUTRAL | — |
| < -20 | Extreme bearish | cautionary | BULLISH | — |
| ≥ 30 | Extreme bullish | cautionary | BEARISH | — |
Health-score / alignment role
Display-only — has bands for surface labeling but does not contribute to the health score (scoring is handled by a companion metric).
Release cadence
- Publishes:
weekly - Weekday: Thu (
3) - Approximate time (ET):
10:30 - Lag days:
0
AAII Investor Sentiment Survey: survey week ends Wednesday; results published Thursday morning ET.
See also
- /kb/api/get-signals-latest — API endpoint that serves this field.